Key Trends to Watch in Oct 2025: RBI MPC, Auto Sales, and More

The Indian stock market saw a roller coaster ride throughout September 2025. For the past 7 trading sessions, the benchmark index Nifty 50 has closed in the red due to the heightened geopolitical tensions.

Till September 25, 2025, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers during the month by selling securities worth ₹24,455.10 crore, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) bought securities amounting to ₹49,892.88 crore. In this article, we will be looking at key trends as financial markets are influenced by financial events.

Key Trend to Watch in October 2025

RBI Monetary Policy Committee Meeting

As per the RBI's FY26 calendar, this will be the 4th Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting of the year. Scheduled to take place over three days, it will commence on September 29 and conclude on October 1. The RBI is expected to announce its decision on the repo rate and other key interest rates on October 1, 2025.

September 2025 Auto Sales Data

Auto stocks like Tata Motors, Maruti Suzuki (MSIL), and Hyundai are likely to be in focus as investors await September’s auto sales date. The September auto sales data is expected to be released by the auto companies on October 1 or October 2

India Inflation Data – Key Macroeconomic Cue

India's consumer price inflation rose to 2.07% in August 2025, up from a revised 1.61% in July, broadly in line with market expectations. This marked the first monthly uptick in inflation in ten months, although it stayed near the Reserve Bank of India's lower tolerance limit of 2% under its inflation-targeting framework.

At the same time, inflation data from the US will be closely monitored, as it can impact global risk sentiment, foreign institutional investor (FII) flows, and currency market movements.

Also Read: Best Gold ETFs in India for October 2025: SBI Gold ETF, Kotak Gold ETF, and More Based on 5Y CAGR

Conclusion

As October 2025 begins, investors should brace for a data-heavy month that could significantly influence market direction. With the RBI’s monetary policy decision, auto sales numbers, and domestic as well as global inflation data on the horizon, the market may witness increased volatility.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. This does not constitute a personal recommendation/investment advice. It does not aim to influence any individual or entity to make investment decisions. Recipients should conduct their own research and assessments to form an independent opinion about investment decisions. 

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