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US-India Trade Deal: India May See 20–25% US Tariffs as Trade Discussions Continue

Written by: Team Angel OneUpdated on: 30 Jul 2025, 6:53 pm IST
India prepares for 20-25% US tariffs as a temporary measure while planning broader trade negotiations with a US delegation visit expected in mid-August 2025.
US-India Trade Deal: India May See 20–25% US Tariffs as Trade Discussions Continue
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According to Reuters reports, India is preparing to face higher US tariffs as trade negotiations continue beyond the August 1, 2025, deadline. The development comes as President Donald Trump intensifies pressure on trading partners to secure comprehensive bilateral agreements or face increased import duties.

India Faces 20-25% Tariff Rate as Temporary Measure

India is bracing for higher US tariffs likely between 20% and 25% on some of its exports as a temporary measure, according to reports. President Trump confirmed these rates on Tuesday, stating that countries that do not negotiate a trade deal may face tariffs of 20% to 25%, though cautioning that the final levy has not been finalised.

Trump explained aboard Air Force One that "India has been a good friend, but India has charged basically more tariffs than almost any other country". The proposed tariff rate represents a slight reduction from the previously announced 26% reciprocal tariff.

August Mid-Month Negotiations and Comprehensive Deal Timeline

New Delhi plans to resume broader trade negotiations when a US delegation visits in mid-August, with the goal of finalising a comprehensive bilateral agreement by September or October. One Indian official told Reuters that "talks are progressing well, and a delegation is expected in Delhi by mid-August".

India's Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal indicated that US negotiators would visit India in the latter half of August to advance discussions. The upcoming round is expected to cover unresolved issues related to market access, tariffs, and digital trade.

Read More: US-EU Reach Landmark Trade Agreement with 15% Tariff Structure!

Trade Deal Terms and Market Access Challenges

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated that more negotiations are needed with India, emphasising that Trump is more interested in good deals than quick deals. India has shown "strong interest in opening portions of its market", though its trade policy has long focused on protecting domestic interests.

Agriculture and dairy remain no-go areas, with India unwilling to allow imports of genetically modified soybean or corn, or to open its dairy sector. Indian officials said New Delhi has offered tariff cuts on a wide range of goods and is working to ease non-tariff barriers.

Bilateral Trade Volume and Economic Impact

Total bilateral goods trade reached approximately $129 billion in 2024, with India posting a trade surplus of nearly $46 billion. India's merchandise exports to the US rose 22.8% to $25.51 billion in the April-June quarter this fiscal year, while imports rose 11.68% to $12.86 billion.

Without a deal, Indian exports could face average US tariffs of around 26%, higher than those faced by Vietnam, Indonesia, Japan or the European Union.

Strategic Positioning and Global Tariff Context

India is holding back on fresh offers while calibrating its strategy amid broader US tariff threats targeting BRICS nations over issues such as de-dollarisation and purchases of Russian oil. Trump announced on Monday that most partners without separate trade deals would face tariffs of 15% to 20% on their exports to the United States.

Conclusion

India's preparation for 20-25% US tariffs reflects the temporary nature of current trade tensions while broader negotiations continue. With a US delegation expected in mid-August and comprehensive deal discussions targeting September-October completion, both nations remain engaged in securing mutually beneficial trade arrangements worth over $129 billion in annual bilateral commerce.

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities or companies mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. This does not constitute a personal recommendation or investment advice. It does not aim to influence any individual or entity to make investment decisions. Recipients should conduct their own research and assessments to form an independent opinion about investment decisions.

Investments in securities are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing.

Published on: Jul 30, 2025, 11:48 AM IST

Team Angel One

Team Angel One is a group of experienced financial writers that deliver insightful articles on the stock market, IPO, economy, personal finance, commodities and related categories.

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