
Crude oil prices advanced in early trading on Friday as markets reacted to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly after strikes on Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities and ongoing disruptions in key global supply routes.
While a temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran initially provided some relief, uncertainty around its durability and continued hostilities have kept risk premiums elevated in oil markets.
Brent crude futures rose to around $96.40 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude traded near $98.56, reflecting gains of around 0.7%. The upward movement follows concerns over tightening supply conditions.
Intraday, WTI crude touched highs of $99.24, while Brent traded within a range of $96.07 to $97.07, indicating continued volatility.
Recent attacks on Saudi Arabia’s oil infrastructure have significantly affected production capacity, reducing output by approximately 600,000 barrels per day. Additionally, throughput on the East-West Pipeline has reportedly declined by around 700,000 barrels per day.
The scale of the disruption has shifted market sentiment, with analysts viewing the situation as a tangible supply shock rather than a temporary disruption.
The Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil shipments, remains effectively constrained amid ongoing conflict. The disruption has raised concerns about the continuity of energy flows from the region.
Market participants are closely monitoring tanker movements through the strait, as any prolonged restriction could significantly tighten global oil supply and push prices higher.
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Although the United States and Iran recently agreed to a two-week ceasefire, reports indicate that tensions persist on the ground. Investors remain sceptical about the sustainability of the truce.
Peace talks are expected to take place in Pakistan, though uncertainties remain regarding whether a lasting agreement can be reached and whether normal shipping operations will resume.
Crude oil prices could surge significantly if disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue. Some estimates indicate that Brent crude could climb sharply in a prolonged supply-constrained scenario.
At the same time, any easing of tensions or restoration of supply flows may help moderate prices, although they are likely to remain elevated compared to pre-conflict levels.
Crude oil markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical developments, with supply disruptions in the Middle East driving recent gains. As uncertainty around the ceasefire and shipping routes persists, oil prices are expected to remain volatile in the near term.
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Published on: Apr 10, 2026, 8:14 AM IST

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