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Gift Nifty Signals Gap-Down Opening on July 31; Trump Targets Indian Imports with 25% Tariff

Written by: Nikitha DeviUpdated on: 31 Jul 2025, 1:44 pm IST
Sensex, Nifty may open lower on July 31 as US imposes 25% tariffs on Indian goods; Gift Nifty hints at gap-down opening; Fed holds rates, cutting hopes for September.
Gift Nifty Signals Gap-Down Opening on July 31; Trump Targets Indian Imports with 25% Tariff
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Indian benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are likely to open lower on Thursday following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on Indian goods, effective August 1.

Asian markets showed mixed trends, while US markets closed mostly in the red after the Federal Reserve policy announcement and comments by Chair Jerome Powell.

Following Powell’s remarks, market expectations for a rate cut by the Fed in September dropped below 50%, as per LSEG data.

Gift Nifty Today

The Gift Nifty hovered around 24,669, nearly 200 points below the Nifty futures’ previous close, suggesting a gap-down opening for Indian benchmark indices.

Asian Market Overview

Asian markets were mixed on Thursday, mirroring Wall Street’s volatile performance post-Fed announcement, while investors awaited the Bank of Japan’s policy outcome.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 advanced 0.55% and the Topix gained 0.28%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.41%, while the Kosdaq remained flat. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng futures pointed to a weak start.

Wall Street Insights

US markets ended mixed on Wednesday following the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady and comments from Chair Jerome Powell that reduced the likelihood of a September rate cut.

  • Dow Jones fell 171.71 points (0.38%) to 44,461.28
  • S&P 500 declined 7.96 points (0.12%) to 6,362.90
  • Nasdaq Composite rose 31.38 points (0.15%) to 21,129.67

In stock-specific action:

  • Nvidia gained 2.14%
  • Apple slipped 1.05%
  • Tesla eased 0.67%
  • Starbucks dipped 0.2%
  • Hershey rose 1.4%
  • VF Corp gained 2.6%
  • In extended trading: Meta surged 11.49% and Microsoft jumped 8.28%

Trump Announces Tariffs on India

US President Donald Trump has imposed a 25% tariff on Indian imports effective August 1, citing India’s high trade barriers. An additional penalty will be levied due to India’s continued energy and defence relations with Russia, according to a post by Trump on Truth Social.

Federal Reserve Policy

The US Federal Reserve held interest rates steady for the fifth straight time, keeping the range at 4.25% to 4.5%. Despite strong labour market data and low unemployment, inflation remains “somewhat elevated.” Fed Chair Powell’s remarks dampened hopes for a rate cut in September.

Domestic Market Recap

The Indian stock market continued its upward momentum for the second straight session on Wednesday, with the Nifty 50 closing above the 24,800 mark.

The Sensex climbed 143.91 points (0.18%) to settle at 81,481.86, while the Nifty 50 ended 33.95 points (0.14%) higher at 24,855.05.

Also Read: IDFC First Bank vs Yes Bank vs Axis Bank: Comparing Q1 FY26 Earnings Results!

Conclusion

Overall, market sentiment remains cautious amid global uncertainties. The announcement of fresh US tariffs on Indian goods and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have dampened investor confidence, potentially leading to a weak start for Indian indices.

With Gift Nifty indicating a gap-down opening and mixed cues from Asian markets, traders may adopt a wait-and-watch approach.

 

Disclaimer: This blog has been written exclusively for educational purposes. The securities mentioned are only examples and not recommendations. This does not constitute a personal recommendation/investment advice. It does not aim to influence any individual or entity to make investment decisions. Recipients should conduct their own research and assessments to form an independent opinion about investment decisions.

Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing.

Published on: Jul 31, 2025, 8:12 AM IST

Nikitha Devi

Nikitha is a content creator with 7+ years of experience in the financial domain. Specialising in personal finance, investments, and market insights, Nikitha simplifies complex financial topics, making them accessible to readers.

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