Gift Nifty Up 40 pts on June 12, 2025: How Is the Indian Stock Market Likely to Open?

Indian stock markets may open on a positive note on June 12, 2025, as Gift Nifty indicates a firm start. However, the sentiment could remain cautious amid mixed global cues, domestic inflation data release, and developments surrounding the US-China trade deal.

Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed Amid Caution on US-China Deal

Asian equities showed divergent trends in early Thursday trade. Japan’s Nikkei 225 declined 0.75%, while the broader Topix dropped 0.43%. Australia’s ASX200 hovered near the flat line with a slight negative bias. South Korea’s Kospi, however, edged up 0.4%.

Market participants reacted to US President Donald Trump’s declaration that a trade agreement with China was “done,” though details remain ambiguous. Trump suggested that tariffs on Chinese imports would now stand at 55%, a figure later affirmed by US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

Wall Street Slips as Inflation Data Disappoints

US markets closed lower overnight following a tepid inflation report and uncertainty around the trade deal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended flat with a slight downward bias, the S&P 500 fell 0.27%, and the Nasdaq shed 0.5%.

Fresh data showed that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose just 0.1% in May—below market expectations of 0.2%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, also undershot estimates. The softer-than-expected inflation readings added to investor caution.

Futures tied to major US indices slipped during early Asian trading hours. Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 futures were each down 0.2%, reflecting lingering uncertainty.

Indian Market Recap: June 11

On Wednesday, the BSE Sensex advanced 123.42 points (0.15%) to close at 82,515.14, while the NSE Nifty 50 gained 37.15 points (0.15%) to end at 25,141.40.

Positive cues from select sectors, coupled with mild institutional buying, helped indices notch modest gains. However, investors remained cautious ahead of key macroeconomic data releases, particularly inflation figures for May.

Key Triggers: Domestic & Global Inflation Data, Trade Talks

The market's direction today is expected to be influenced by:

• Domestic May inflation data, which will provide insight into RBI’s potential policy moves.
• US-China trade deal developments, including Trump’s tariff details and supply chain shifts.

President Trump emphasised that the trade pact with China is “done, subject to final approval with President Xi and me,” adding that China will supply rare earths and magnets upfront. In return, the US will ease restrictions on Chinese students pursuing education in America.

Read More: How to Buy NSE Unlisted Shares in India.

Conclusion

With Gift Nifty signaling a positive open, Indian equities could see early strength. Yet, mixed global trends, evolving trade dynamics, and inflation data releases—both domestic and international—will likely keep investors on alert. A cautious and data-driven session is anticipated.

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