Gift Nifty Down 1% on June 13, 2025: How Is the Indian Stock Market Likely to Open Today?

Indian stock markets may open on a weak note on June 13, 2025, as Gift Nifty indicates a sharply negative start. The sentiment may stay fragile due to geopolitical tensions, despite relief from cooling inflation and supportive US data. Market focus will likely shift to institutional flows, global cues, and inflation trends on the last trading day of the week.

Asia-Pacific Markets Mixed as Israel Strikes Iran

Asia-Pacific equities showed mixed trends on Friday, weighed by geopolitical concerns stemming from an Israeli military strike on Iran. Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped 1.16%, while the broader Topix index fell just over 1%. South Korea’s Kospi declined 0.67%, and Australia’s ASX 200 slipped 0.17%.

Investor sentiment was shaken after Israel launched a preemptive strike on Iran early Friday, according to Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz. The attack followed US President Trump's warning of potential military action on Iranian nuclear sites. Katz also confirmed that a retaliatory response involving missiles and drones was expected soon. A state of emergency has been declared in the region.

Wall Street Ends Higher on Soft US Inflation Data

US markets closed higher on Thursday, buoyed by softer-than-expected inflation figures and easing bond yields. The May Producer Price Index (PPI) rose just 0.1%—below the 0.2% forecast—reinforcing earlier CPI data that also showed subdued price pressures.

The S&P 500 climbed 0.38%, the Nasdaq Composite added 0.24%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.24%. Early Friday futures for major US indices edged lower, but weekly performance remained in positive territory, reflecting improved investor sentiment.

Indian Market Recap: June 12

On Thursday, the BSE Sensex plunged 823.16 points (1.00%) to close at 81,691.98, while the NSE Nifty 50 declined 253.20 points (1.01%) to settle at 24,888.20.

Markets witnessed a sharp sell-off across sectors amid global risk aversion and profit booking. Broader concerns over global growth, along with geopolitical unease, dragged indices lower despite the release of positive domestic data.

Key Triggers: Inflation Relief, Israel-Iran Tensions, Global Cues

Key factors expected to drive today’s market action include:

• India’s May retail inflation, which eased to 2.82%—its lowest level since February 2019—offering more flexibility to the RBI to hold policy rates.
• Geopolitical developments, with Israel’s military action against Iran creating volatility in global risk assets.
• US inflation data, including a lower-than-expected PPI reading, which helped ease concerns about Fed rate hikes.
• Institutional flows and end-of-week adjustments may also influence market direction.

Read More: How to Buy NSE Unlisted Shares in India.

Conclusion

With Gift Nifty signalling a sharply negative start and geopolitical tensions escalating, Indian equities could remain under pressure. However, relief from softer inflation data may offer a partial cushion. Investors are expected to stay cautious, tracking both global cues and institutional activity in a highly event-driven session.

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