Nifty Weekly Expiry Outlook for 7th July 2022

Let’s start this expiry outlook with analysis of: Monthly, Weekly, Daily, Hourly time-frames.

Monthly time-frame

Past Analysis

• Major resistance zone 18000-18300, got rejected several times from this zone.
• Nifty found support at 15700-16000zone twice in March & May Month.
• June month candle has broken the major support zone of 15700, but recovered from the lows of 15200.

Now what

• Monthly time-frame indicates a bearish hold in the market, however there is support from 15200 levels, 16800 being major resistance.

Weekly Time-frame

Past Analysis

• Nifty was falling in Lower High – Lower Low pattern since past months.
• Latest fall from 18100 levels up-to the support zone of 15700-16000.
• Bounced back from support zone of 15700 to 16800level, from where it resumed down-trend with hammer pattern formation at 16800.
• After getting resitance from 16800, In last two week bears gripped the market with full power, broken the major support zone (15700-16000). However, in last week, Nifty got supported from 15200 level closing in green.

Now what

• Last week candle indicates indecisiveness in market, last week has been very volatile, gave no cues about future direction. For this week, 15900will act as major resistance zone &15500-15700 being major support.

Daily Time-frame Analysis

Past Analysis

• From the resistance level of 16800, it keeps falling, however to spent some time at important level of
• On 16June, Nifty fell with a big red candle from the level of 15700 to 15300 levels (400pts) in single day.
• However, from 15200 level it bulls gathered their power to take market again up to 15700 level where market is trading with volatility in complete last week.

Now what

• Last week, bulls has broken 15700 level, but still there is no followup move upside, Nifty has been trading in tight range of 15700 – 15900 in past week.

Hourly Time-frame Analysis

Past Analysis

• In past 5 days market been trading in tight range of 15700-15900 zone.

Now What

• On Friday, bears broken 15700 level but bulls pulled it again back to 15700 from the lows of 15500.

Concluding Analysis :

• At 15200 But tried to fight and took Nifty to 15700 level.
• 15700 acted as resistance for Bulls. However from 15200 Nifty was moving up with lower high lower low form and formed W pattern from the level of 15400.
• 15700 has been broken by bulls, now 15700 will act as good support zone. But upward rally can only begin once bulls breaks 15900 zone.
• If again bears tries to bring market below 15700 then 15200 level can be retested again.

So important levels to watch:

Support & Resistance Zone

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