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Technical and Derivatives Review |April 21, 2023
Market took a breather; Nifty withholds the pivotal support
Sensex (59655) / Nifty (17624)
Source: Tradingview.com
Future outlook
The Indian equity markets took a breather post three weeks of consecutive rally, wherein the benchmark index witnessed a cool-off
from the higher grounds. Overall, it has been a decent week where the Bulls opted to take some money off the table. However, the
broader market had a splendid move that kept the momentum for the market participants. Amidst profit booking, the Nifty50 index
corrected just over a percent and settled the week a tad above the 17600 level.
The market movement was very much in line with the in-house expectation post the strong rally and to be considered healthy from
a technical point of view. Technically speaking, amidst the price-wise correction in the market, the chart structure construes
optimism, and it is highly anticipated to continue the cheerful run in the upcoming week. As far as levels are concerned, till the index
firmly withholds the pivotal support of 17500, there is no sign of caution in the market. While on the higher end, 17700-17800 holds
stiff resistance and a decisive move beyond which could trigger the next leg of rally in the comparable period.
Going forward, we remain sanguine with the current momentum and would advocate the traders to utilize the dips to add long
positions in the index. Simultaneously, one should stay abreast with global and domestic developments regularly and continue with
a buy on decline strategy for the time being. Also, we expect strong moves in the broader market with the ongoing earning season;
hence, one needs to have a stock-centric approach for better trading opportunities.
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Technical and Derivatives Review |April 21, 2023
Sho
rt
Form
at
ion
Long Short Ratio remained unchanged at 39%
Nifty spot closed at 17624.05 this week, against a close of 17828.00 last week. The Put-Call Ratio has decreased from 1.19 to 0.93 on
Weekly basis. The annualized Cost of Carry is positive at 11.48%. The Open Interest of Nifty Futures increased by 1.43%.
Derivatives View
Nifty current month’s future closed with a premium of 33.25 against a premium of 51.65 points to its spot in the previous week.
Next month’s future is trading at a premium of 90.60 points.
The Indian equity markets took a breather post three consecutive weeks of rally, wherein the benchmark index Nifty50 corrected
1.14 percent and settled a tad above the 17600 level. On the derivatives front, we noticed some mixed trade throughout the week
and eventually ended up with a mere short position in key indices on a weekly basis. On the options front, a meaningful addition of
OI is seen at the 17600-17500 put strikes, indicating a nearby support base for Nifty. On the flip side, the highest OI concentration is
seen at the 17700-call strike, which is likely to be seen as the major hurdle for the time being. The Long Short Ratio’ remained
unchanged at 39% WoW, indicating a subdued view of the stronger hands. We remain upbeat till the 17500 zone is firmly withheld
in Nifty and expect any intra-week dip to be utilized to add longs in the system.
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
COFORGE 1047150 53.26 3833.90 (4.13)
LTTS 2033800 35.73 3335.10 (3.91)
LAURUSLABS 14690500 30.53 303.85 (3.34)
INFY 47821600 24.50 1230.75 (11.46)
SHREECEM 417375 24.19 23967.05 (7.22)
Weekly change in OI
Long Formation
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
NESTLEIND 413480 55.82 20544.40 5.64
NAVINFLUOR 669150 47.62 4718.20 4.46
CUB 28130000 29.04 130.45 3.00
JUBLFOOD 22597500 14.24 441.65 2.01
PAGEIND 142650 14.03 40074.30 6.16
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Technical and Derivatives Review |April 21, 2023
Sameet Chavan Chief Analyst – Technical & Derivatives sameet.chavan@angelone.in
Sneha Seth Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives sneha.seth@angelone.in
Rajesh Bhosale Technical Analyst rajesh.bhosle@angelone.in
Osho Krishan Senior Analyst – Technical & Derivatives osho.krishan@angelone.in
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357600 Website: www.angelone.in
For Technical Queries E-mail: technicalresearch-cso@angelone.in
For Derivative Queries E-mail: derivatives.desk@angelone.in
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