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Technical and Derivatives Review | September 17, 2021
Hint of profit booking at all time high
Sensex (59016) / Nifty (17585)
Source: Investing.com
Future outlook
After an extended weekend, markets opened on a flat note on Monday. During the first couple of sessions, we witnessed some
consolidation with Nifty gradually moving towards 17400. However, the remaining part of the week panned out so well for the bulls as we
saw Nifty resuming its upward trajectory to register new highs every day by a fair margin. On Friday, the positive momentum was carried
over to even almost reach the new milestone of 17800. Unfortunately, it could not keep up with the same momentum as we witnessed a
decent profit booking after marking a new high of 17792.95. Eventually the week ended tad below the 17600 mark by adding more than a
percentto the previous weeklyclose.
Since last few days, Nifty was trapped in a small range and finally it managed to find some momentum. The trend is extremely strong but
honestly, the current move is not giving us comfort at all. We reiterate that when things start to look hunky dory and there are no signs of
correction, market surprises. Yes, it’s difficult to predict the precise time, but it’s always better to be safe than sorry. As of now, we are not
advising to short but at least one can choose to keep booking profits on a regular interval and stay light on positions. Friday’s sharp
correction from higher levelsis clearly anindication of this and hence, we continue with our cautious stance. As far as levels are concerned,
17700 17800 are to be seen as immediate hurdles; whereas on the flipside, 17450 17250 should be treated as key supports. The first
sign of real weakness would comeonly if westart sliding belowthe lower range.
The banking space had a lion share in last three days’ rally as we saw BANKNIFTY coming out of its long slumber phase to post fresh record
high. In fact, on Friday as well, the broader market was sulking after the initial up move; but banking index managed to close in the green.
Going ahead, all eyes would be on this heavyweight basket, because if Nifty has to move towards 18000, this space needs to continue its
momentum. In addition, the broader end of the spectrum had a fabulous run throughout the week but we saw some decent profit booking
in this space as well on the last day, which does not bode well. Hence, we remain a bit sceptical and we expect the picture to get clear in
thecoming week itself.
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Technical and Derivatives Review | September 17, 2021
Options data hints resistance at 17800
Nifty spot closed at 17585.15 this week, against a close of 17369.25 last week. The Put-Call Ratio has decreased from 1.27 to 1.15.
TheannualizedCost of Carry ispositiveat 2.87%. The Open Interest ofNifty Futuresincreasedby 1.38%.
DerivativesView
Nifty currentmonth future closed with a premium of 19.85 points against a premium of 1.75 points to its spot. Next month future is
tradingat a premium of 50.35points.
Nifty continued to march higher and form new records every day during the week. It almost tested the 17800 mark on Friday, but
witnessed some profit booking at the end to close the week tad below 17600. The banking index outperformed this week as the
Bank Nifty posted new record high and ended with weekly gains of around 3 percent. The index witnessed formation of long
positions whichled to its outperformance. FII’s added some long positions in the index futures segment and their ‘Long Short Ratio
currently stands around 68 percent. In options segment, open interest addition was seen in 17800 call and 17600-17500 puts too
witnessed addition of positions. The data indicates immediate resistance around 17800 followed by 18000 level. On the flipside, we
believe at-the-money put option of 17600 strike saw addition of long positions on Friday. In the coming week, 17500-17400 would
be the crucial support zone which traders should keep a watch on. It is advisable to be stock specific and avoid aggressiveovernight
positions.
Weekly change in OI
Short Formation
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
ADANIENT 25149000 51.96 1486.35 (4.15)
LALPATHLAB 603750 37.22 3994.90 (3.11)
GUJGASLTD 5073750 31.57 663.65 (2.73)
LUPIN 11722350 21.28 950.40 (3.24)
TATASTEEL 47816750 14.81 1388.45 (4.23)
Long Formation
Scrip
OI
Futures
OI
Chg (%)
Price
Price
Chg(%)
IRCTC 2938325 55.40 3870.30 17.19
INDIGO 4041500 42.63 2202.75 14.84
POLYCAB 711000 24.15 2512.45 5.03
PNB 337216000 14.80 39.70 5.31
COALINDIA 55104000 14.30 156.90 5.20
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Technical and Derivatives Review | September 17, 2021
Research Team Tel: 022- 39357600 (Extn– 6844) Website:www.angelone.in
For Technical Queries E-mail: technicalresearch-cso@angelbroking.com
For Derivative Queries E-mail: derivatives.desk@angelbroking.com
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Technical and Derivatives Team:
SameetChavan ChiefAnalyst –Technical & Derivatives sameet.chavan@angelbroking.com
RuchitJain SeniorAnalyst -Technical & Derivatives ruchit.jain@angelbroking.com
RajeshBhosale TechnicalAnalyst rajesh.bhosle@angelbroking.com
SnehaSeth Derivatives Analyst sneha.seth@angelbroking.com