Daily Technical Report
June 27, 2013
Exhibit 1: Nifty Hourly Chart
Sensex (18552) / NIFTY (5889)
Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened marginally higher
in-line mixed global cues. Subsequently, indices slipped into
consolidation mode and traded within a narrow trading
range for most part of the session. As the Rupee depreciated
further, a correction towards the fag end led indices to close
marginally in the negative territory. The IT, Power and FMCG
counters outperformed our benchmark indices; whereas the
Auto, Metal and Consumer Durables sectors corrected
reasonably during the session. The advance to decline ratio
was strongly in favor of declining counters.
(A=952
D=1360)
Formation
The ’20-week EMA’ and the ’89-Week EMA’ are placed
at 19232/ 5825 and 18458/ 5585 levels, respectively.
The ’89-day EMA’ and the ‘200-day SMA’ are placed at
Source: Falcon:
19325/ 5854 and 19184`/ 5817, respectively.
The weekly ‘RSI-Smoothened’ oscillators, the ‘ADX (9)
Actionable points:
indicator and ‘5 & 20 EMA’ are now signaling a
negative crossover.
View
Neutral
Support Levels
5570 - 5544
Resistance Levels
5666 - 5705
Trading strategy:
Yesterday, apart from the concluding hour, lackluster
movement was seen during rest of the session. The entire
day’s price action was within Tuesday’s range. Hence, the
‘Long Legged Doji’ Japanese candlestick pattern mentioned
in our previous report is still intact. Since, there is no major
change in the price structure, we reiterate our view that the
pattern would be confirmed only if indices sustain above
Tuesday’s high of 18801 / 5666. In this case, indices may
bounce towards 18890 - 19000 / 5705 - 5750 levels. On
the flipside, the said pattern would be negated on a closing
below the low of 18487 / 5570. In such scenario, indices
may slide towards 18424 - 18325 / 5544 - 5500 levels.
The coming session is expected to be volatile on account of
June month derivative series expiry. Hence, we advise traders
to remain light on positions and avoid taking undue risks.
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Daily Technical Report
June 27, 2013
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Hourly Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (11067)
Yesterday, the Bank Nifty too opened slightly higher in-line
with our benchmark indices. However, unlike our benchmark
indices, the Bank Nifty remained under pressure for most part
of the session. At this juncture, the Bank Nifty is yet again
placed near the lower end of the ‘Downward Sloping
Channel’ (please refer exhibit 2) in hourly chart. Going
forward, considering yesterday’s negative momentum, the
Bank Nifty may slide towards the April lows of 10888, if it
sustains below yesterday’s low of 11033. On the flipside,
11262 - 11326 would act as a strong intraday resistance for
the index.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Support Levels
11033 - 10888
Resistance Levels
11262 - 11326
Source: Falcon:
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Daily Technical Report
June 27, 2013
Research Team Tel: 022 - 30940000
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
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