Daily Technical Report
February 21, 2013
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (19643) / NIFTY (5943)
Yesterday, indices opened slightly higher in-line with positive
global cues. However, indices could not sustain at higher
level and immediately corrected to trade within a narrow
range for rest of the trading session. On sectoral front, Oil &
Gas and Realty were the major gainers whereas Consumer
Durables and Metal sectors ended on a losing side. The
advance to decline ratio was in favor of advancing counters
Formation
The ’20-day EMA’ and the ’20-week EMA’ are placed at
19650 / 5949 and 19233 / 5832 levels, respectively.
The Nifty has broken down from the ‘Upward Sloping
Trend Line’ (as shown in the chart).
The weekly ‘RSI Smoothened’ and ‘3 & 8 EMA’ are
signaling a negative crossover.
Source: Falcon:
Trading strategy:
Actionable points:
Yesterday, indices opened marginally higher and precisely
tested the mentioned resistance level of 19723 / 5970.
View
Bearish below 5938
However, it was observed that indices were struggling to
Expected target
5883 - 5850
cross this level and eventually slid lower to close near day's
Resistance levels
5970
low. Since, there is no major change in the chart structure we
reiterate that only a sustainable move beyond yesterday's
high of 19743 / 5971 would attract buying interest among
market participants. On the other hand, considering
negative global clues, a move below Tuesday’s low of 19457
/ 5883 will result in the resumption of the overall downtrend.
Intraday traders can short the market below the 5938 mark,
for a target of 5883. Stop loss for the trade would be near to
5970.
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Daily Technical Report
February 21, 2013
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (12364)
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and traded in a
narrow range with negative bias throughout the session. The
positive crossover in “RSI” and “Stochastic” momentum
oscillator on the daily chart mentioned in our previous report
is still intact. However the daily chart now shows that the Bank
Nifty is facing tremendous resistance near to the 20 day
moving average near to the 12475 mark. Also the daily
chart shows a “Dark Cloud Cover” candlestick pattern which
needs confirmation in the form of a closing below 12350.
The bearish pattern will be negated only if the index crosses
the 12475 level. On the downside 12332 - 12301 levels are
likely to act as support for the day.
Actionable points:
View
Bearish below 12350
Expected target
12301 - 12245 - 12140
Resistance levels
12475
Source: Falcon:
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Daily Technical Report
February 21, 2013
Research Team Tel: 022 - 30940000
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
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Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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