Daily Technical Report
June 12, 2013
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (19143) / NIFTY (5789)
Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened lower on the back
of negative developments across the globe and significant
weakness in rupee. Immense selling pressure was seen as
the day progressed and eventually markets closed at almost
the lowest point of the session. All sectors ended in the
negative territory with the Consumer Durables, Metal, Realty
and Banking counters leading the decline. The advance to
decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining counters.
(A=670 D=1691)
Formation
The ’20-week EMA’ and the ’20-day EMA’ are placed at
19378/ 5875 and 19754/ 5991 levels, respectively.
The ’89-day EMA’ and the ‘200-day SMA’ are placed at
19443/ 5897 and 19095 / 5790, respectively.
The weekly ‘RSI’ and ‘Stochastic’ momentum oscillators
are still negatively poised.
Source: Falcon:
The weekly ‘Bearish Engulfing’ and the monthly
‘Shooting Star’ Japanese candlestick patterns are still
Actionable points:
intact.
View
Neutral
Support Levels
5764 - 5732
Trading strategy:
Resistance levels
5807 - 5868
Yesterday, indices opened on a pessimistic note and
immediately during the initial hour, breached the crucial
support of 50% Fibonacci retracement level placed at 19294
/ 5853. As expected, this triggered massive selling pressure
in our market and indices almost tested the mentioned
support level of 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 19022 /
5764. We are now observing that indices are also hovering
around the daily ‘200 SMA’ placed at 19109 / 5794. This
technical indicator is considered as a decent support level.
Hence, going forward, only a sustainable move below
yesterday’s low of 19121 / 5780 may lead to a further fall
towards 18870 / 5732. On the flipside, 19350 - 19419 /
5807 - 5868 levels would act as resistance in coming
trading session.
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Daily Technical Report
June 12, 2013
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (11821)
Yesterday, the Bank Nifty too opened lower and
maintained its negative momentum seen during Monday’s
session. During the opening trade, the Bank Nifty violated
Monday’s low of 12017 and as a result, we witnessed a
strong selling post the breach of the support. The Index
then corrected more than 2% and precisely met with our
target of 11854 mentioned in our previous report. The
Bank Nifty is now slightly below the ‘200 SMA’ level of
11882. Hence, we are of the opinion that if index sustains
below yesterday’s low of 11795, then we may witness
extended corrective move towards 11643. Conversely,
yesterday’s high of 12032 would act as resistance for the
day.
Actionable points:
View
Negative below 11795
Expected Target
11643
Source: Falcon:
Resistance Level
12032
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Daily Technical Report
June 12, 2013
Research Team Tel: 022 - 30940000
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
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