Daily Technical Report
May 07, 2013
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (19674) / NIFTY (5971)
The opening session of the week started off on a flat note in-
line with quiet mood across the globe. Indices then oscillated
within the narrow trading range of about half a percent for
most part of the session. For the day, Metal, IT and Teck
counters ended on a gaining side whereas FMCG stocks
ended in the red. The advance to decline ratio was in favor
of advancing counters (A=1339 D=1006) (Source-
Formation
The ’20-week EMA’ and the ’20-day EMA’ are placed at
19145/ 5802 and 19172/ 5818 levels, respectively.
The ’89-day EMA’ and the ‘200-day SMA’ are placed at
19118/ 5792 and 18763 / 5689, respectively.
The weekly ADX (9) indicator and the ‘RSI-Smoothened’
Source: Falcon:
oscillator have signaled a positive crossover.
The 78.60%Fibonacci retracement levels of the fall from
20204 / 6112 to 18144 / 5477 is placed at 19762 /
5976.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
For the second consecutive session, indices oscillated within
View
Bearish Below 5928
the price range of Thursday’s session. However, unlike
Expected Target
5880 - 5867
Friday’s session, the price action was narrower and indices
Resistance Levels
6020
traded with positive bias for the most part of the session.
Considering price movement in hourly chart, indices may
trade with positive bias only if they sustain above 19695 /
5977 level. In this case, an intraday up move towards 19792
/ 6020 can be expected. On the flipside, it is important to
note that the markets have now made a higher low for 12
consecutive trading sessions. A fall and close below the low
of 19550 / 5928 may result in a bout of profit booking in
the market. Traders with a positional trading perspective are
advised to book profits in their long positions and wait for
declines.
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Daily Technical Report
May 07, 2013
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (12396)
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and immediately
fell below the support level of 12313. As mentioned we
witnessed selling pressure in the index and the Bank Nifty
nearly tested the ’20 - day EMA’ during the first hour of
trade. However, a gradual recovery from this support level
led the index to close near the initial opening level. We are
now witnessing a ‘Spinning Top’ candlestick pattern on the
daily chart indicating indecisiveness at current levels.
However, the “RSI - Smoothened” indicator has given a
negative crossover. For the day, 12486 - 12556 levels are
likely to act as resistance levels whereas 12250 - 12144 are
likely to act as support.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance levels
12486 - 12556
Support Levels
12250 - 12144
Source: Falcon:
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Daily Technical Report
May 07, 2013
Research Team Tel: 022 - 30940000
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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