Daily Technical Report
August 29, 2012
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (17632) / NIFTY (5335)
Yesterday, indices opened on a flat note in-line with
mixed global cues and registered a low of 17570 /
5312. Subsequently, a minor bounce towards the end
led indices to close marginally in the negative
territory. Once again the selling pressure was
observed mainly in Metal, Capital Goods and
Banking counters; whereas IT, FMCG and Teck
sectors were in the green during yesterday’s session.
The advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of
declining counters (A=929 D=1889) (Source
-
Formation
On the weekly chart, the indices have closed
above the “Downward Sloping Trend Line”
resistance around
17650/
5370 formed by
joining the highs of 21109 / 6339 (November 5,
2010) - 18524 / 5630 (February 24, 2012).
The ’20-day EMA’ and the ’200-day SMA’ are
placed at 17572 / 5327 and 16900 / 5110
levels, respectively.
Source: Falcon
Looking at the “Line Chart” it is clear that indices
have now confirmed the ‘Higher Top - Higher
Actionable points:
Bottom’ formation on the weekly chart after
August 28, 2009.
View
Negative Below 5312
The daily momentum oscillator’s viz., the RSI and
Expected Targets
5290 - 5240
the Stochastic are signaling a negative crossover.
Resistance Levels
5359 - 5399
The weekly chart candle resembles a ‘Shooting
Star’ pattern.
Trading strategy:
Yesterday, after a quiet opening, immense selling
pressure resulted in a breach of Monday's low i.e.
5346 during the initial hour of trade. As expected, we
witnessed a sharp down move in the markets but the
'20-day EMA' level provided a decent support for the
day. Going forward, a breach of yesterday's low of
17570 / 5312 would reinforce selling pressure and in
this scenario, indices may slip towards 17450 - 17285 /
5290 - 5240 levels. Conversely, the resistance levels are
seen around 17676 - 17820 / 5359 - 5399.
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Daily Technical Report
August 29, 2012
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10059)
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a pessimistic note in
line with our benchmark indices and traded with
extreme volatility throughout the session. As
mentioned in our previous reports the momentum
oscillators on daily chart continue with their sell
signal. However, we are now witnessing “Positive
Divergence” in momentum oscillator “RSI” on the
hourly chart. Hence a minor pullback during the day
cannot be ruled out. In this scenario the index may
bounce towards
10151
-
10230 levels. On the
downside 9964 - 9914 levels are likely to act as
support in coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10151 - 10230
Support Levels
9964 - 9914
Source: Falcon
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Daily Technical Report
August 29, 2012
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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