Technical Research | October 28, 2011
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17277) / NIFTY (5202)
On Tuesday’s session, our benchmark indices opened
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
marginally higher and traded with extreme volatility mainly
on account of RBI Monetary policy and Derivatives expiry.
However, markets picked up strong positive momentum
during the last one hour of the session which led indices to
cross 17300 / 5200 mark after nearly four months. On the
sector front, IT, Auto, Health Care and Oil & Gas counters
were among the gainers whereas Banking sector ended on
a losing side. The advance decline ratio was marginally in
favor of declining counters (A=1355 D=1460). (Source -
Falcon software)
Formation
• During the week, indices have managed to cross
“Horizontal Line” resistance of 17256 / 5198 level.
Source: Falcon
• On the daily chart, we are witnessing a “Trend Line”
break out at 17200 / 5177 level.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
We witnessed a quite opening on Tuesday’s session and
View
Neutral
indices traded with immense volatility before the
Resistance Levels
5230 - 5323
Support Levels
5145 - 5085
announcement of “RBI Monetary Policy”. Subsequently,
indices rallied during the last hour and managed to cross
stiff resistance zone of 17200 - 17256 / 5177 - 5198. In
addition, we are observing a “Trend Line” break out at
17200 / 5177 level. Also, global indices are showing
tremendous strength on the back of the decisions taken
during the European summit on the debt crisis. Thus, going
forward, if indices manage to sustain above 17300 / 5200
level then they are likely to move higher to test the gap area
of 17358 - 17665 / 5230 - 5323 created on August 5,
2011. On the downside, 17100 - 16900 / 5145 - 5085
are likely to act as a support in coming trading sessions.
For Private Circulation Only |
1
Technical Research | October 28, 2011
Bank Nifty Outlook - (9547)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank nifty opened on a quite note on Tuesday’s trading
session and slipped below both the mentioned support levels
of 9580-9430 during the day trade after the announcement
of RBI monetary policy. However, index managed to give a
close well above the second support level. We are witnessing
that the index has taken support near the 50% Fibonacci
retracement of the rise from 5th October - 24th October
2011. We reiterate our view that 9970 - 10030 levels may
act as a stiff resistance for Bank Nifty; only a close beyond
these levels would provide clear direction of the trend.
On the downside, 9323 level may act as a support level for
the day.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
9970 - 10030
Support Level
9323
Source: Falcon
For Private Circulation Only |
2
Technical Research | October 28, 2011
Positive Bias:
Stock Name
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Expected Target
Remarks
Global Tele
49.40
53.21
54.5
View will change below 47.5
KFA
23.2
22.9
25.9
View will change below 21.5
RecLtd
174.3
173.5
180
View will change below 170.6
Negative Bias:
Stock Name
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Expected Target
Remarks
OFSS
2143.8
2052
2050
View will change above 2161
For Private Circulation Only |
3
Technical Research | October 28, 2011
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,227
17,258
17,304
17,335
17,381
NIFTY
5,183
5,192
5,206
5,215
5,229
BANKNIFTY
9,476
9,511
9,559
9,595
9,643
ACC
1,166
1,180
1,189
1,203
1,212
AMBUJACEM
153
154
154
155
156
AXISBANK
1,110
1,116
1,126
1,132
1,142
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,745
1,751
1,759
1,765
1,772
BHARTIARTL
389
391
393
395
397
BHEL
314
316
317
319
320
BPCL
646
652
657
663
668
CAIRN
294
296
298
299
301
CIPLA
290
291
293
295
296
DLF
226
228
230
232
234
DRREDDY
1,559
1,576
1,587
1,604
1,615
GAIL
423
425
429
431
435
HCLTECH
424
427
431
434
439
HDFC
656
662
668
673
679
HDFCBANK
467
470
472
475
477
HEROMOTOCO
2,085
2,096
2,108
2,119
2,131
HINDALCO
125
127
128
129
131
HINDUNILVR
340
342
343
345
346
ICICIBANK
854
863
874
883
894
IDFC
126
127
128
130
131
INFY
2,808
2,823
2,847
2,862
2,885
ITC
210
211
212
213
214
JINDALSTEL
530
534
539
544
549
JPASSOCIAT
72
73
73
73
74
KOTAKBANK
487
491
495
499
503
LT
1,334
1,342
1,349
1,357
1,364
M&M
839
844
850
855
861
MARUTI
1,130
1,140
1,154
1,164
1,178
NTPC
173
174
174
175
176
ONGC
272
275
276
279
280
PNB
926
933
938
945
950
POWERGRID
103
103
104
105
106
RANBAXY
508
512
515
519
522
RCOM
75
75
76
76
77
RELCAPITAL
343
345
347
348
350
RELIANCE
865
869
875
880
886
RELINFRA
421
422
425
426
429
RPOWER
90
91
92
93
94
SAIL
108
108
110
110
112
SBIN
1,845
1,856
1,863
1,874
1,881
SESAGOA
197
201
204
208
210
SIEMENS
829
834
841
846
853
STER
121
121
122
123
124
SUNPHARMA
493
498
502
508
511
SUZLON
36
36
37
37
37
TATAMOTORS
188
190
192
194
197
TATAPOWER
100
100
101
102
102
TATASTEEL
446
449
452
455
458
TCS
1,083
1,090
1,100
1,106
1,116
WIPRO
363
366
370
373
377
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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