Technical Research | March 27, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17053) / NIFTY (5184)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, we witnessed a flat opening in-line with other
Asian bourses. However, selling pressure intensified as the
day progressed and dragged indices to close almost at the
lowest point of the day. It must be noted that participation
from domestic institutions was extremely muted in
yesterday’s session. On sectoral front, Realty, Power and
Banking counters were among the major losers. There was
no sector in the positive territory. The advance to decline
ration was strongly in favour of declining counters (A=962
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17164 / 5163 and 17607 / 5350, respectively.
• The “20-Week EMA” is placed at 17150 / 5188 level.
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Neutral
The week began on a quiet note but market drifted lower
Resistance Levels
5275 - 5312
right from the opening trades. Selling pressure gained
Support Levels
5171 - 5076 - 5000
momentum on the violation of Friday’s low of 17179 /
5220. As a result, indices continued sliding down and tested
the mentioned strong support level of 17008 / 5171. This
support level almost coincides with “200-day SMA” and
“20-week EMA”. Therefore, it can be considered as a strong
support zone. Considering the global cues in today’s
session, it is likely that our markets may open on a positive
note. On the upside, 17388 - 17459 / 5275 - 5312 levels
may act as resistance in coming trading session. On The
downside, if indices manage to sustain below 17008 /
5171, then we are likely to witness further downside
momentum. In this case, indices may fall lower to test the
next support zone of 16828 - 16600 / 5076 - 5000.
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1
Technical Research | March 27, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10044)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and not only
tested the 10000 level during the session, but managed
to close well below the mentioned range of 10100 -
10600. We are now witnessing a trend line breakdown
formed by joining the lows of January30, 2012 and
March7, 2012. The momentum oscillators on the daily
chart are negatively poised. However, we are witnessing a
positive divergence in “RSI” momentum oscillator on the
hourly chart. Thus possibility of a minor pullback cannot
be ruled out. On the upside 10250 - 10340 levels are
likely to act as resistance in coming trading session.
Moreover any move below yesterday’s low of 10013 will
trigger fresh momentum on the downside and the index
may drift towards 9939 - 9800 levels.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10250 - 10340
Support Levels
10013 - 9939 - 9800
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | March 27, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
United Spirits
552.6
551.8
566.2
559
605
View will change below
536
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3
Technical Research | March 27, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
16,795
16,924
17,151
17,280
17,506
NIFTY
5,111
5,148
5,211
5,248
5,311
BANKNIFTY
9,857
9,950
10,107
10,200
10,357
ACC
1,298
1,314
1,340
1,356
1,382
AMBUJACEM
163
166
170
172
176
AXISBANK
1,085
1,105
1,140
1,160
1,195
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,611
1,637
1,678
1,704
1,745
BHARTIARTL
320
324
331
335
341
BHEL
251
255
261
264
270
BPCL
647
656
671
680
695
CAIRN
341
344
350
354
359
CIPLA
277
283
292
298
307
COALINDIA
324
328
332
336
340
DLF
183
186
192
195
200
DRREDDY
1,629
1,646
1,659
1,676
1,689
GAIL
352
357
365
370
378
HCLTECH
451
464
484
497
517
HDFC
643
647
654
658
665
HDFCBANK
500
506
511
517
522
HEROMOTOCO
1,928
1,965
1,994
2,030
2,060
HINDALCO
123
125
129
131
135
HINDUNILVR
393
398
402
407
411
ICICIBANK
842
857
881
896
920
IDFC
122
125
130
133
138
INFY
2,792
2,812
2,840
2,859
2,888
ITC
219
221
223
224
226
JINDALSTEL
503
515
532
543
560
JPASSOCIAT
78
80
81
83
84
KOTAKBANK
515
523
531
539
547
LT
1,260
1,270
1,284
1,294
1,308
M&M
667
674
681
688
695
MARUTI
1,271
1,284
1,303
1,316
1,335
NTPC
160
163
168
170
175
ONGC
255
258
264
268
273
PNB
877
894
923
940
969
POWERGRID
104
105
106
107
108
RANBAXY
401
406
414
419
427
RCOM
84
85
87
89
91
RELIANCE
717
723
734
740
751
RELINFRA
561
572
588
598
614
RPOWER
115
117
120
122
125
SAIL
91
92
93
94
96
SBIN
2,080
2,099
2,129
2,148
2,178
SESAGOA
179
184
192
197
205
SIEMENS
749
757
770
778
790
STER
102
105
109
112
117
SUNPHARMA
566
572
578
584
590
SUZLON
26
27
27
28
28
TATAMOTORS
263
266
269
272
276
TATAPOWER
92
94
97
99
102
TATASTEEL
430
435
443
449
457
TCS
1,136
1,149
1,167
1,180
1,198
WIPRO
416
419
425
428
433
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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