Technical Research | April 26, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17151) / NIFTY (5202)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, once again indices opened on a flat note in-line
with other Asian bourses. Indices traded sideways in the
initial hour of the trade but plunged post announcement of
rating agency ‘Standard & Poor’s’. The agency has changed
India’s outlook to negative. On sectoral front, Consumer
Durables and IT counters were among the major losers,
whereas defensive sectors like, FMCG and Health Care
along with Auto sector ended in the positive territory. The
advance to decline ratio was in strongly in favor of declining
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-day
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17050 / 5135 and 17400 / 5300, respectively.
Source: Falcon
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5180 level.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Neutral
In spite of the volatility seen in yesterday’s session, the
Resistance levels
5236 - 5311
technical outlook on the market remains unchanged and
Support Level
5135
the range bound activity is likely to continue. As mentioned
in previous reports, once again the ’20 week EMA’ has
provided decent support for the markets. Going forward,
only if indices manage to sustain below 16920 / 5135
level, then they likely to drift towards 16828 - 16600 /
5076 - 5000. Conversely, the immediate resistance is seen
around 17250 / 5236 level. A move beyond this may push
indices higher to test 17444 / 5311 level.
Note: It is likely that we may see extreme volatility in today’s
session on account of the derivatives expiry. Traders are
advised to trade with strict stop losses and avoid aggressive
positions.
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1
Technical Research | April 26, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10160)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and traded
with extreme volatility throughout the session. The index
tested the mentioned support level of
10060 and
bounced back. The negative crossover in “RSI
-
Smoothened” momentum oscillator on the daily chart
mentioned in our previous reports is still intact. On the
contrary, the momentum oscillator “RSI - Smoothened” on
the hourly chart is placed in an extreme oversold
condition and possibility of a bounce back cannot be
ruled out. The trading range of
10600
-
10150
mentioned in our previous reports was breached during
the day trade but the index managed to claw back and
give a close marginally above it. For the coming session
10280 - 10345 levels are likely to act as resistance and
10040 - 9985 levels may act as support.
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10280 - 10345
Support Levels
10040 - 9985
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2
Technical Research | April 26, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
View will change below
TVS Motor
39.9
39.8
40.9
40.2
43
38.2
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3
Technical Research | April 26, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
16,910
17,030
17,140
17,261
17,370
NIFTY
5,124
5,163
5,200
5,239
5,275
BANKNIFTY
9,926
10,043
10,160
10,277
10,395
ACC
1,159
1,177
1,206
1,223
1,252
AMBUJACEM
146
148
151
153
156
AXISBANK
1,057
1,076
1,100
1,119
1,144
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,615
1,635
1,661
1,681
1,707
BHARTIARTL
301
307
311
317
322
BHEL
226
229
234
237
242
BPCL
674
680
689
695
704
CAIRN
334
341
346
353
358
CIPLA
308
310
314
316
320
COALINDIA
342
346
352
356
362
DLF
180
183
186
188
191
DRREDDY
1,727
1,754
1,773
1,800
1,819
GAIL
326
331
340
345
354
HCLTECH
499
503
508
512
517
HDFC
666
671
680
685
693
HDFCBANK
533
540
545
551
556
HEROMOTOCO
2,150
2,197
2,227
2,274
2,304
HINDALCO
116
118
120
122
124
HINDUNILVR
414
416
419
422
425
ICICIBANK
812
825
840
854
869
IDFC
120
122
124
126
128
INFY
2,278
2,314
2,339
2,376
2,401
ITC
241
243
245
248
249
JINDALSTEL
465
473
480
488
495
JPASSOCIAT
70
72
74
75
77
KOTAKBANK
548
557
566
574
583
LT
1,175
1,203
1,220
1,249
1,266
M&M
691
697
706
713
722
MARUTI
1,351
1,366
1,378
1,393
1,405
NTPC
161
163
165
167
170
ONGC
259
262
266
269
273
PNB
849
862
878
891
906
POWERGRID
106
107
109
110
112
RANBAXY
500
508
520
528
540
RCOM
76
77
79
81
83
RELIANCE
721
729
736
743
751
RELINFRA
503
515
527
539
551
RPOWER
100
102
106
108
111
SAIL
96
98
100
102
104
SBIN
2,094
2,133
2,170
2,209
2,246
SESAGOA
181
183
185
188
190
SIEMENS
759
769
783
793
807
STER
104
106
107
109
110
SUNPHARMA
579
586
594
601
608
SUZLON
21
22
22
23
23
TATAMOTORS
307
310
313
317
319
TATAPOWER
101
104
105
107
109
TATASTEEL
451
458
467
474
483
TCS
1,154
1,162
1,176
1,185
1,199
WIPRO
396
403
413
420
430
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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