Daily Technical Report
June 21, 2012
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (16897) / NIFTY (5121)
Yesterday, once again markets opened on a flat note
in-line with mixed global cues. We witnessed a range
bound activity in the first half and then indices
eventually managed to close well above 5100 mark.
On sectoral front, Metal, Capital Goods and Health
Care counters were among the major gainers;
whereas IT and Teck sectors remained under
pressure. The advance to decline ratio was strongly in
favor of advancing counters (A=1614 D=1081)
Formation
The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and
20-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have
now shifted to 16800 / 5070 and 16550 /
5019, respectively.
The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 16830 / 5100
level.
Source: Falcon
On the daily chart, indices are trading near the
upper range of ‘Downward Sloping Channel’
drawn by joining two highs of February 22,
Actionable points:
2012 - April 19, 2012 and low of March 7,
2012.
View
Bullish above 5146
The positive crossover in weekly ‘RSI’ momentum
Expected target
5190
oscillator is still intact. Also, the weekly ‘3 & 8
Support Levels
5100 - 5041
EMA’ is signaling a positive crossover.
Trading strategy:
Broadly speaking, indices have traded in a narrow
range of nearly
1% during yesterday’s session.
However, bias remained positive considering strong
intraday rally on Tuesday’s session and the Indices
managed to test resistance level of 16968 / 5146
mentioned in our previous report. Going forward, we
continue to mention 16968 / 5146 level as an
immediate resistance for the market. A sustainable
move above this level may push indices higher to test
its importance resistance level of 17110 / 5190.
Conversely, the support is seen at 16840 - 16636 /
5100 - 5041 levels.
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Daily Technical Report
June 21, 2012
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank Nifty Outlook - (9832)
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a positive note and
traded in a narrow range throughout the session. We
reiterate our view that index is likely to trade in a
broad range of
10225 -
9595. Traders with a
positional perspective can consider long positions
near the lower end of the range but should place a
strict stop loss below 9550 (closing basis). Looking at
the momentum oscillators on the daily and hourly
chart we believe the ongoing volatility is likely to
continue. Within the mentioned range 9915 - 10000
levels are likely to act as intermediate resistances and
9764 - 9661 are likely to act as support levels.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
9915 - 10000
Support Levels
9610 - 9595
Source: Falcon
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Daily Technical Report
June 21, 2012
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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