Technical Research | April 20, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17504) / NIFTY (5332)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, we witnessed a flat opening in-line with other
Asian markets. Our benchmark indices traded above hourly
20 EMA and momentum picked up during the second half,
to at the highest point of the session. On the sectoral front,
Auto, Health Care and FMCG counters contributed heavily
in yesterday’s up move; whereas Capital Goods and Power
sectors ended on the losing side. The advance to decline
ratio was in favor of advancing counters (A=1504
D=1356) (Source -www.bseindia.com).
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17324 / 5271, respectively.
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
Source: Falcon
• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’
breakout around 17400 / 5300 level.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Positive Above 5343
Expected Targets
5380 - 5441
Markets opened on a flat note and lingered around the
Support Levels
5291
hourly ’20 EMA’ during the first half. However, strong
buying emerged near this support zone, which pushed
indices higher to test mentioned resistance level of 5330 /
17475. We reiterate our bullish opinion on the market
considering the breakout from the downward sloping trend
line. The markets have closed marginally below previous
day’s high of 17523 / 5342. Going forward, once indices
manage to trade above 17531 / 5343 level, then we may
witness enhanced buying interest among market
participants. In this scenario, markets are likely to rally
towards the next resistance zone of 17664 - 17900/ 5380
- 5441. Conversely, yesterday’s low of 17361 / 5291 holds
a key support for the markets.
For Private Circulation Only |
1
Technical Research | April 20, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10568)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and traded
with extreme volatility throughout the session. For the
third consecutive session we are observing a narrow
range body formation, which is a sign of indecisiveness
prevailing at current levels. Hence, we reiterate our view
that the index is in a trading range of 10650 - 10150.
Only a sustainable move outside the mentioned range
will dictate a clear direction of the trend. On the upside a
sustainable move above
10650 will trigger fresh
momentum on the upside and the index may rally
towards the resistance zone of 10750 - 10775. On the
downside a fall below yesterday’s low of 10438 may lead
the index to test the support zone of 10250 - 10235.
Actionable points:
View
Positive Above 10650
Source: Falcon
Resistance Levels
10750 - 10775
Support Levels
10438 - 10250 - 10235
For Private Circulation Only |
2
Technical Research | April 20, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
Tata Global
View will change below
124.45
120.5
117.3
124.7
139
115.9
United
View will change below
128.2
127.9
131
129.2
132.5
Phosphorous
126
For Private Circulation Only |
3
Technical Research | April 20, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,297
17,400
17,465
17,569
17,634
NIFTY
5,271
5,302
5,322
5,353
5,373
BANKNIFTY
10,378
10,473
10,534
10,629
10,690
ACC
1,188
1,218
1,268
1,298
1,349
AMBUJACEM
160
162
166
168
172
AXISBANK
1,171
1,183
1,196
1,209
1,222
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,709
1,719
1,730
1,740
1,750
BHARTIARTL
319
322
324
326
328
BHEL
244
247
253
256
261
BPCL
687
691
696
700
706
CAIRN
345
348
351
354
358
CIPLA
311
316
319
323
326
COALINDIA
342
352
357
367
373
DLF
195
198
201
203
206
DRREDDY
1,755
1,781
1,797
1,823
1,839
GAIL
351
356
363
368
375
HCLTECH
490
497
501
507
511
HDFC
678
684
688
695
698
HDFCBANK
531
542
549
561
567
HEROMOTOCO
2,093
2,144
2,178
2,230
2,264
HINDALCO
125
127
129
130
133
HINDUNILVR
416
421
426
430
435
ICICIBANK
858
868
876
886
893
IDFC
130
131
133
135
136
INFY
2,349
2,377
2,396
2,424
2,443
ITC
236
240
243
246
249
JINDALSTEL
503
510
515
522
528
JPASSOCIAT
78
79
81
82
84
KOTAKBANK
564
579
590
605
615
LT
1,293
1,306
1,318
1,330
1,342
M&M
686
696
703
713
720
MARUTI
1,339
1,365
1,383
1,409
1,427
NTPC
166
167
168
169
171
ONGC
267
270
272
274
276
PNB
909
915
923
929
937
POWERGRID
113
114
114
115
116
RANBAXY
503
511
516
524
529
RCOM
84
85
86
87
88
RELIANCE
729
735
745
751
760
RELINFRA
549
558
570
579
591
RPOWER
115
116
117
118
119
SAIL
95
97
98
99
101
SBIN
2,229
2,249
2,274
2,294
2,319
SESAGOA
182
187
191
197
200
SIEMENS
813
821
827
836
841
STER
107
108
110
111
113
SUNPHARMA
587
592
600
605
612
SUZLON
24
24
24
24
24
TATAMOTORS
306
312
316
323
327
TATAPOWER
105
106
108
109
110
TATASTEEL
458
463
466
471
474
TCS
1,085
1,094
1,100
1,109
1,116
WIPRO
413
417
423
427
433
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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