Technical Research | April 18, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17358) / NIFTY (5290)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, our Benchmark indices opened on a flat note
and traded in a narrow range in the initial hour of the
session. Later on, as expected and mentioned, indices
traded with extreme volatility post the announcement of the
RBI Monetary Policy as RBI surprised markets with 50bps
rate cut. On the sectoral front, Realty and Metal counters
were among the major gainers, whereas there was no
sector on the losing side. The advance to decline ratio was
strongly in favor of advancing counters (A=1657 D=1155)
(Source -www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17324 / 5271, respectively.
Source: Falcon
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’
resistance around 17400 / 5300 level.
Actionable points:
View
Positive Above 5307
Expected Targets
5330 - 5379
Trading strategy:
Support Levels
5240 - 5170
Yesterday, we witnessed a volatile trading session on
account of “RBI Monetary Policy”. After the announcement
of the policy, our indices rallied almost 1.5% from day’s low
and closed in green. Today, our markets are likely to open
in the green on the back of strong positive global cues. We
reiterate our positive bias on the markets and are of the
view that once the indices cross the temporary resistance at
17408 / 5307 they are likely to rally further towards 17664
- 18041 / 5379 - 5500 levels. On the downside, 17210 -
17010 / 5240 - 5170 will now act as a decent support for
the markets.
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1
Technical Research | April 18, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10520)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
In Yesterday’s session, as expected Bank Nifty remained
highly volatile and tested the mentioned resistance and
support levels. We are witnessing a “Doji” candlestick
pattern which is a sign of indecisiveness prevailing at
current levels. Hence, we reiterate our view that presently
the index is in trading range of 10600 - 10150. Only a
sustainable move outside the mentioned range will dictate
a clear direction of the trend. A move above the 10625
level will trigger fresh upside momentum and the Bank
Nifty is then likely to test 10750 - 10832. On the
downside 10348 - 10250 are likely to act as support in
coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Positive above 10625
Source: Falcon
Expected target
10750 - 10832
Support Levels
10348 - 10250
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2
Technical Research | April 18, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
View will change below
Bharti Airtel
322.3
322.7
329.6
324
340
314
View will change below
Siemens
813
794.4
784
820
880
790
For Private Circulation Only |
3
Technical Research | April 18, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,003
17,180
17,281
17,459
17,560
NIFTY
5,176
5,233
5,265
5,322
5,355
BANKNIFTY
10,090
10,305
10,463
10,678
10,837
ACC
1,207
1,231
1,246
1,270
1,285
AMBUJACEM
153
158
160
164
167
AXISBANK
1,136
1,174
1,199
1,237
1,263
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,618
1,645
1,662
1,690
1,707
BHARTIARTL
312
317
320
326
329
BHEL
255
259
262
266
270
BPCL
668
678
683
693
699
CAIRN
328
334
340
346
352
CIPLA
311
313
315
316
318
COALINDIA
339
345
349
354
358
DLF
194
200
203
208
211
DRREDDY
1,708
1,734
1,766
1,793
1,825
GAIL
343
354
362
373
381
HCLTECH
468
474
486
493
504
HDFC
665
674
681
691
698
HDFCBANK
514
522
529
537
544
HEROMOTOCO
2,026
2,075
2,105
2,155
2,185
HINDALCO
122
125
127
130
131
HINDUNILVR
416
419
422
425
428
ICICIBANK
837
861
877
901
917
IDFC
127
131
133
136
138
INFY
2,309
2,345
2,372
2,408
2,435
ITC
236
241
244
249
252
JINDALSTEL
488
498
505
515
522
JPASSOCIAT
76
80
81
84
86
KOTAKBANK
563
572
582
592
601
LT
1,274
1,303
1,320
1,350
1,367
M&M
672
678
685
691
698
MARUTI
1,286
1,314
1,354
1,383
1,423
NTPC
163
165
167
169
171
ONGC
252
261
266
274
279
PNB
891
910
925
944
960
POWERGRID
110
112
113
115
116
RANBAXY
496
502
508
514
520
RCOM
82
86
88
91
93
RELIANCE
733
740
747
754
762
RELINFRA
534
560
574
599
613
RPOWER
112
116
118
121
123
SAIL
93
95
96
97
98
SBIN
2,163
2,234
2,292
2,362
2,420
SESAGOA
183
186
189
192
195
SIEMENS
782
798
808
824
834
STER
105
107
108
109
110
SUNPHARMA
565
575
583
593
601
SUZLON
24
24
24
25
25
TATAMOTORS
293
297
301
305
309
TATAPOWER
102
103
104
105
106
TATASTEEL
446
454
459
467
473
TCS
1,065
1,078
1,087
1,099
1,108
WIPRO
417
419
422
424
427
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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