Technical Research | April 16, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17095) / NIFTY (5207)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
On Friday, our Benchmark indices opened flat and traded
with positive bias during the initial hour of the session to test
the mentioned resistance zone of 5300. However, during
the latter half, we witnessed a fall of more than 2% from
day’s high and Nifty closed marginally above 5200 mark.
On sectoral front, IT, and Teck counters contributed heavily
in the fall whereas Health Care and FMCG sectors ended
with marginal gains. The advance to decline ratio was in
favor of declining counters (A=1236 D=1567) (Source -
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17400 / 5300, respectively.
Source: Falcon
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’
Actionable points:
resistance around 17400 / 5300 level.
View
Neutral
Resistance levels
5255-5307
Support Levels
5170 - 5135
Trading strategy:
Considering, Friday’s sharp correction during the second
On account of significant selling pressure in Friday’s
half, we advise traders to stay light on positions and trade
session, markets tumbled down from the day’s high and
with strict stop losses.
closed almost at the lowest point of the week. Indices are
now approaching a strong support zone comprising of the
‘20-week EMA’ and ‘200-day SMA’. This support zone is at
17200 - 17100 / 5200 - 5150 levels. Therefore, going
forward, ONLY if indices sustain below recent swing low of
16920 / 5135, we may witness intense selling pressure and
markets are likely to drift towards the next support levels of
16828 - 16600 / 5076 - 5000. Conversely, 17400 / 5300
level is now a crucial resistance for the indices. Only a
sustainable move, with strong volumes, above the weekly
high 17408 / 5307 will indicate resumption of a strong
uptrend. Indices then may rally towards 17664 - 18041 /
5379 - 5500 levels.
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1
Technical Research | April 16, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10306)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
On Friday’s session, Bank Nifty opened with an upside
gap and traded in a narrow range during first half of the
session. However during the second half strong selling
pressure pushed the index to test the mentioned support
level of 10250. As expected we witnessed high volatility
during Friday’s session. The ADX
(14) indicator is
currently placed at 11.38 which suggest that the current
trend is sideways. Moreover, the positioning of the
momentum oscillators on the daily chart reflects lack of
confidence amongst trading participants. Going into the
policy week we may witness volatility in Bank Nifty. On
the upside 10588 - 10625 levels are likely to act as
resistance and 10130 - 10000 levels are likely to act as
support in coming trading sessions.
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10588 - 10625
Support Levels
10130 - 10000
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2
Technical Research | April 16, 2012
Negative Bias:
Negative
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Below
Target
ROLTA
91.2
93
94
88.9
79
View will change above 93
View will change above
GMR INFRA
28.7
29.2
29.7
28
24
30.2
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3
Technical Research | April 16, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
16,802
16,948
17,173
17,319
17,544
NIFTY
5,112
5,160
5,233
5,281
5,355
BANKNIFTY
10,024
10,165
10,377
10,518
10,729
ACC
1,221
1,240
1,272
1,291
1,324
AMBUJACEM
157
160
163
166
170
AXISBANK
1,118
1,140
1,178
1,201
1,239
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,597
1,618
1,653
1,674
1,708
BHARTIARTL
316
320
324
328
333
BHEL
250
254
258
262
266
BPCL
662
670
681
689
701
CAIRN
337
339
342
344
347
CIPLA
310
312
314
316
318
COALINDIA
330
335
340
344
349
DLF
191
195
200
203
208
DRREDDY
1,687
1,711
1,725
1,749
1,763
GAIL
347
352
359
363
371
HCLTECH
466
473
481
488
496
HDFC
672
676
681
685
690
HDFCBANK
516
523
530
537
544
HEROMOTOCO
2,000
2,028
2,063
2,092
2,127
HINDALCO
121
123
126
128
132
HINDUNILVR
420
423
425
428
431
ICICIBANK
822
843
872
894
922
IDFC
127
130
134
137
142
INFY
2,305
2,354
2,438
2,487
2,572
ITC
229
232
237
240
245
JINDALSTEL
474
486
503
515
532
JPASSOCIAT
71
74
78
81
85
KOTAKBANK
561
571
578
588
594
LT
1,243
1,263
1,295
1,314
1,346
M&M
677
684
698
705
718
MARUTI
1,291
1,307
1,328
1,344
1,366
NTPC
164
165
167
169
170
ONGC
254
257
261
265
268
PNB
875
889
910
924
945
POWERGRID
109
111
112
113
115
RANBAXY
484
492
506
514
528
RCOM
80
82
86
88
92
RELIANCE
726
739
750
763
775
RELINFRA
521
534
554
566
586
RPOWER
111
113
116
118
122
SAIL
92
93
94
95
97
SBIN
2,142
2,177
2,230
2,266
2,319
SESAGOA
181
184
188
190
194
SIEMENS
769
780
798
810
828
STER
104
105
108
109
111
SUNPHARMA
563
574
583
594
603
SUZLON
23
24
24
25
25
TATAMOTORS
283
286
290
294
298
TATAPOWER
100
101
104
105
107
TATASTEEL
438
444
453
459
469
TCS
1,035
1,052
1,078
1,095
1,122
WIPRO
399
409
423
434
448
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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