Technical Research | March 13, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17588) / NIFTY (5360)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
The week began on an optimistic note in-line with strong
cues from other Asian markets but pared early gains to
close marginally in the positive territory. On the sectoral
front, the Capital Goods, Consumer Durable and Realty
sectors were among the major gainers whereas IT and Teck
counters ended on a losing side. The advance to decline
ratio was in favor of advancing counters. (A=1598
D=1246) (Source -www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA and 20-day EMA have now shifted to
17164 / 5163 and 17556 / 5330, respectively.
• The “20-Week EMA” is placed at 17120 / 5170 level.
• The Daily momentum oscillators viz., the RSI and the
Stochastic are positively poised.
• The weekly chart depicts a “Bullish Hammer” and
“Bullish Dragon Fly Doji” Japanese candlesticks pattern
in Sensex and Nifty, respectively.
Source: Falcon
Trading strategy:
Actionable points:
View
Bullish Above 5382
Indices opened higher during yesterday’s session and
Expected Targets
5459 - 5475
initially moved towards the immediate resistance level of
Support level
5327 - 5291
17692 / 5382. There is no significant change in the chart
structure and thus we would reiterate that 17692 / 5382
level remains to be a near term resistance for the markets.
A move beyond this level on the back of positive global
markets may push indices higher to test 18001 - 18250 /
5459 - 5538 levels. The immediate support is seen around
17494 - 17401 / 5327 - 5291 levels.
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1
Technical Research | March 13, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10626)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, for the second consecutive session Bank Nifty
opened with an upside but lost gains in the latter half of
the day. It was seen that the optimism on the back of a
75 bps CRR cut on Friday did not last long and the Index
witnessed profit booking. The positive crossover in “RSI”
and “Stochastic” momentum oscillator mentioned in our
previous report is still intact. The impact of the mentioned
crossover will come into force only if the index manages
to sustain above yesterday’s high of 10786. In this case
the index is likely to rally towards 10850 - 11035 levels.
On the downside 10543 - 10391 levels are likely to act
as support in coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10786 - 10850
Support Levels
10543 - 10391
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | March 13, 2012
Positive Bias:
20 Day
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
Range
Remarks
EMA
Target
Above
View will change below
HDIL
109.3
105.4
104
120
110.5
103
View will change below
Exide Ind
144.9
139.3
136
145 - 141
158
138
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3
Technical Research | March 13, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,341
17,464
17,618
17,742
17,896
NIFTY
5,275
5,317
5,370
5,412
5,464
BANKNIFTY
10,409
10,517
10,652
10,760
10,895
ACC
1,284
1,303
1,314
1,333
1,344
AMBUJACEM
159
161
163
165
166
AXISBANK
1,187
1,206
1,232
1,251
1,276
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,729
1,758
1,783
1,813
1,838
BHARTIARTL
332
336
340
344
348
BHEL
277
281
284
288
290
BPCL
649
656
664
670
678
CAIRN
362
367
373
378
384
CIPLA
294
298
305
309
315
COALINDIA
332
335
338
341
344
DLF
195
200
205
209
214
DRREDDY
1,679
1,688
1,699
1,708
1,719
GAIL
347
351
353
357
359
HCLTECH
495
501
506
513
518
HDFC
657
664
676
684
696
HDFCBANK
506
512
523
530
541
HEROMOTOCO
1,889
1,911
1,926
1,948
1,964
HINDALCO
130
134
136
140
142
HINDUNILVR
377
379
382
384
387
ICICIBANK
906
917
931
942
956
IDFC
142
145
148
151
154
INFY
2,704
2,761
2,838
2,895
2,972
ITC
203
205
208
209
212
JINDALSTEL
564
577
586
598
607
JPASSOCIAT
76
78
79
81
82
KOTAKBANK
549
555
563
570
577
LT
1,306
1,327
1,344
1,365
1,381
M&M
646
655
670
679
694
MARUTI
1,313
1,325
1,341
1,353
1,368
NTPC
167
170
173
175
178
ONGC
272
275
280
283
288
PNB
944
958
973
986
1,001
POWERGRID
109
110
111
112
113
RANBAXY
407
412
420
425
433
RCOM
93
95
96
98
99
RELIANCE
770
785
794
808
817
RELINFRA
622
638
647
663
672
RPOWER
128
131
134
138
140
SAIL
93
95
96
98
99
SBIN
2,262
2,286
2,305
2,330
2,349
SESAGOA
191
195
201
205
210
SIEMENS
781
795
803
817
825
STER
110
112
115
117
119
SUNPHARMA
567
572
576
580
584
SUZLON
27
28
28
29
29
TATAMOTORS
273
279
283
288
293
TATAPOWER
103
105
108
110
113
TATASTEEL
442
449
456
463
470
TCS
1,161
1,175
1,197
1,211
1,233
WIPRO
425
431
436
442
446
Technical Research Team
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Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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