Technical Research | April 11, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17244) / NIFTY (5244)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, the 5200 mark yet again acted as strong support
from where buying emerged in the latter half of the session.
In the end, our Benchmark indices closed near the initial
opening level. On sectoral front, FMCG, AUTO and
Banking counters where among the major gainers, whereas
METAL, IT, and Consumer Goods stocks ended on the
losing side. The advance to decline ratio was marginally in
favor of declining counters (A=1337 D=1432) (Source -
www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17333 / 5275, respectively.
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
• The candlestick pattern on the daily chart resembles a
“Homing Pigeon”.
• Indices have taken support near
61.8% Fibonacci
Retracement level (17204 / 5228) of the rise from 16920 to
Source: Falcon
17664 / 5135 to 5379 levels.
Trading strategy:
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Yesterday, indices opened on a flat note and traded in a
Resistance Levels
5256 - 5288 - 5339
narrow range throughout the day to close below 5250
Support Levels
5200 - 5135
mark. Now on the Daily chart, we are observing a
candlestick pattern which resembles a “Homing Pigeon”
Conversely, the high of “Homing Pigeon” 17275 / 5256
which needs confirmation in the form of closing above the
would act as a resistance in today’s trading session. A
high. However, there are no significant changes in rest of
sustainable move beyond this level may result further upside
the technical evidences mentioned in our previous report.
and indices are likely to test 17407 - 14554 / 5288 - 5339
Also, the global cues suggest that our markets may open in
levels.
red. Therefore, we are of the opinion that if indices sustain
below yesterday’s low of 17135 / 5211 then they are likely
to slide towards the next support levels of 17100 - 16920 /
5200 - 5135 levels.
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1
Technical Research | April 11, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10196)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note, tested our
mentioned support level of
10100 to bounce back
sharply during the last hour of trade. We are witnessing a
“Bullish Harami” candlestick pattern near
61.8%
Fibonacci retracement of the rise from March 29, 2012 -
April 03, 2012. The said pattern requires confirmation in
the form of closing above 10210. We are also witnessing
positive crossover in “RSI - Smoothened” oscillator on the
hourly chart and the possibility of an up - move cannot be
ruled out. Thus if the index sustains above yesterday’s
high of 10210 then it is likely to rally towards the
resistance zone of 10320 - 10355. In this rally, we expect
SBI, ICICI, IndusInd bank and Uco Bank to give
substantial returns. On the downside, 10075 - 9986 are
likely to act as support in coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10320 - 10355
Support Levels
10075 - 9986
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | April 11, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
Escorts
76.35
75
73.2
76.7
82
View will change below 72
View will change below
Vip Inds
104.2
104.4
103.5
105.2
110
101
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3
Technical Research | April 11, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,079
17,162
17,218
17,300
17,357
NIFTY
5,193
5,218
5,237
5,262
5,281
BANKNIFTY
10,028
10,112
10,161
10,245
10,294
ACC
1,278
1,289
1,306
1,317
1,333
AMBUJACEM
161
164
168
171
175
AXISBANK
1,131
1,142
1,151
1,162
1,171
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,619
1,633
1,649
1,664
1,680
BHARTIARTL
326
328
330
332
335
BHEL
249
252
258
262
268
BPCL
628
648
665
685
703
CAIRN
334
341
347
354
359
CIPLA
305
308
311
314
317
COALINDIA
327
330
334
337
341
DLF
199
201
205
207
210
DRREDDY
1,668
1,691
1,723
1,747
1,779
GAIL
311
333
347
369
382
HCLTECH
479
485
493
500
508
HDFC
662
667
671
676
679
HDFCBANK
512
518
522
529
532
HEROMOTOCO
1,926
1,952
1,970
1,996
2,014
HINDALCO
121
123
125
128
130
HINDUNILVR
400
407
412
420
425
ICICIBANK
845
854
864
874
884
IDFC
129
131
133
135
137
INFY
2,675
2,723
2,785
2,834
2,896
ITC
221
225
228
232
234
JINDALSTEL
488
494
503
510
519
JPASSOCIAT
77
79
82
84
86
KOTAKBANK
527
537
543
553
559
LT
1,255
1,270
1,291
1,306
1,327
M&M
677
686
691
699
704
MARUTI
1,243
1,259
1,277
1,294
1,312
NTPC
160
161
162
164
165
ONGC
258
261
266
269
274
PNB
891
899
908
916
926
POWERGRID
108
109
110
111
112
RANBAXY
473
479
488
493
503
RCOM
81
83
85
87
89
RELIANCE
734
738
743
747
751
RELINFRA
550
562
575
586
599
RPOWER
113
116
119
122
124
SAIL
91
92
93
95
96
SBIN
2,072
2,112
2,134
2,174
2,196
SESAGOA
179
181
184
186
189
SIEMENS
756
769
777
790
799
STER
102
103
105
106
108
SUNPHARMA
553
560
565
572
577
SUZLON
24
24
24
25
25
TATAMOTORS
272
278
281
287
291
TATAPOWER
98
101
103
106
108
TATASTEEL
444
448
454
459
465
TCS
1,138
1,147
1,161
1,170
1,185
WIPRO
435
440
445
450
455
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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