Daily Technical Report
May 10, 2012
Sensex (16480) / NIFTY (4975)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, we witnessed a gap down opening in-line
with other Asian bourses. Subsequently, indices drifted
lower to test mentioned support level of 16430 /
4950, which acted as a decent support for the day.
On the sectoral front, Realty, Metal and Banking
counters corrected sharply for the second consecutive
session whereas FMCG and IT sectors ended in the
positive territory. The advance to decline ratio was
strongly in favor of declining counters (A=936
Formation
Source: Falcon
The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and
20-day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have
now shifted to 16949 / 5115 and 17220 /
5225, respectively.
Indices are trading around
61.8% Fibonacci
Retracement level of the rise from 15135 / 4531
Actionable points:
(Low on December 20, 2011) to 18524 / 5630
View
Bullish Above 5016
(High on February 22, 2012).
Expected target
5125
The Daily chart depicts an ‘Inverted Hammer’
Support Levels
4956 - 4900
and ‘Doji Star’ in Sensex and Nifty, respectively.
Trading strategy:
We witnessed a range bound session after testing the
support level of 16430 / 4950. A minor pull back
towards the latter part of the session led indices to
close around its initial opening level. Hence, we are
observing "Inverted Hammer" and "Doji Star" pattern
in the Sensex and Nifty, respectively. Further, these
patterns have been formed at the mentioned 61.8%
Fibonacci Retracement level. The said pattern will get
activated only above yesterday's high of 16616 /
5016 beyond which the markets may rally further
towards
16945 /
5125 level. On the downside,
yesterday's low of 16423 / 4956 is expected to act as
a decent support in coming trading session. The
negative momentum is likely to resume only on the
violation of yesterday's low. In this case, indices may
slide further towards 16270 - 16165 / 4900 - 4850
levels.
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Daily Technical Report
May 10, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (9405)
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a pessimistic note in
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
line with our benchmark indices and traded in a
narrow range throughout the session. The index found
support near the mentioned support level of 9364
and has managed to give a close well above that. As
the momentum oscillators on hourly and daily chart
continue to give mixed signals, we expect the ongoing
volatility to continue. Also, a clear candlestick pattern
formation does not exist at the current juncture. Thus
on the upside 9572 - 9700 levels are likely to act as
resistance and 9270 - 9205 levels are likely to act as
support in coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
9572 - 9700
Support Levels
9270 - 9205
Source: Falcon
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Daily Technical Report
May 10, 2012
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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