Technical Research | February 09, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17707) / NIFTY (5368)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
After nearly 5 - 6 trading sessions, yesterday markets
opened on a flat note and traded with extreme volatility to
close in green. On the sectoral front, Consumer Durables,
Realty and IT counters were among the major gainers,
whereas Health Care and Banking sectors ended with a
nominal loss. The advance to decline ratio was in favor of
advancing counters. (A=1723 D=1157) (Source
-
www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• Indices are hovering around “Horizontal Line”
resistance of 17908 / 5400.
• The “RSI-Smoothened” oscillator on daily chart is
placed in extreme overbought territory.
• Tuesday’s price action indicates a “Bearish Engulfing”
pattern.
• The momentum oscillator on the daily chart viz., the
“Stochastic” is negatively poised.
Source: Falcon
• The daily chart exhibits a “Spinning Top” formation.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Bearish below 5322
After a quiet opening, indices made another attempt of
Expected Targets
5290 - 5225
crossing 5400 mark. We observed strong selling pressure
Resistance levels
5414
near this stiff resistance which dragged indices lower to test
hourly 20 EMA. However, a sharp recovery towards the
Therefore, violation of 17582 / 5322 level may attract
latter part of the session led indices to close with decent
strong selling pressure and indices may slide towards
gains. Yesterday’s candle resembles a “Spinning Top”
17504 - 17308 / 5290 - 5225 levels. On the upside,
Japanese candlestick pattern. A combination of this pattern
17908 / 5414 level is likely to act as a strong resistance for
with the “Engulfing Bearish” pattern formed on Tuesday’s
the markets.
session indicates loss of positive momentum and uncertainty
among the market participants. Further, we continue to
mention that the “RSI-Smoothened” oscillator is placed well
inside the overbought territory and the “Stochastic”
oscillator is negatively poised.
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1
Technical Research | February 09, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10320)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on a flat note and traded with
extreme volatility throughout the day to close near the initial
opening level. We are witnessing a “Doji” candle stick
formation which is a sign of indecision in the minds of the
bulls and the bears. We are now of the opinion that the
index is in a broad range of 10180 - 10430 levels and only
a sustainable move outside the said range will dictate the
direction of the trend. However we reiterate our view, on the
Daily chart; we are witnessing a possibility of negative
divergence in “RSI” oscillator which is coupled with other
overbought momentum oscillators. Thus the chances of a
breakdown are higher as compared to that of a breakout.
However traders are advised to wait for further confirmatory
signals before taking aggressive positions. On the upside
resistance of 10430 - 10517 remains intact.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10430 - 10517
Support Levels
10180 - 9916
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | February 09, 2012
Positive Bias:
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Target
Uflex
138
137.6
132.6
151
View will change below 127
IL&FS Eng.
84
79.3
72.1
93
View will change below 73
Venky’s India
473.4
451
430.8
520
View will change below 431
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3
Technical Research | February 09, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,469
17,588
17,699
17,818
17,928
NIFTY
5,292
5,330
5,363
5,402
5,435
BANKNIFTY
10,117
10,218
10,310
10,412
10,503
ACC
1,315
1,350
1,371
1,406
1,428
AMBUJACEM
172
174
177
180
182
AXISBANK
1,085
1,106
1,124
1,145
1,162
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,617
1,633
1,648
1,664
1,678
BHARTIARTL
340
347
358
366
377
BHEL
253
257
262
266
270
BPCL
559
569
574
584
589
CAIRN
362
367
372
378
382
CIPLA
344
348
352
356
360
COALINDIA
322
328
332
337
341
DLF
226
231
234
239
243
DRREDDY
1,575
1,598
1,616
1,639
1,657
GAIL
371
382
388
398
405
HCLTECH
457
462
465
470
473
HDFC
681
689
695
702
708
HDFCBANK
495
502
510
517
525
HEROMOTOCO
1,931
1,964
1,987
2,021
2,043
HINDALCO
149
155
159
165
169
HINDUNILVR
380
384
387
391
394
ICICIBANK
902
911
920
930
939
IDFC
135
137
138
140
142
INFY
2,724
2,746
2,764
2,787
2,805
ITC
199
202
205
207
210
JINDALSTEL
562
572
586
595
609
JPASSOCIAT
73
75
76
79
80
KOTAKBANK
521
527
533
539
545
LT
1,336
1,352
1,366
1,382
1,396
M&M
660
673
686
699
711
MARUTI
1,229
1,248
1,264
1,283
1,299
NTPC
174
176
177
179
181
ONGC
275
279
283
287
290
PNB
962
971
984
994
1,006
POWERGRID
104
106
108
110
113
RANBAXY
444
449
455
460
465
RCOM
87
90
92
95
97
RELIANCE
836
847
856
867
876
RELINFRA
536
564
580
607
624
RPOWER
98
100
101
103
104
SAIL
102
103
106
107
110
SBIN
2,128
2,153
2,170
2,195
2,213
SESAGOA
212
220
226
233
239
SIEMENS
763
774
781
792
799
STER
120
122
124
126
128
SUNPHARMA
530
540
548
558
565
SUZLON
29
29
30
30
31
TATAMOTORS
242
246
250
254
258
TATAPOWER
104
106
107
110
111
TATASTEEL
432
441
452
461
471
TCS
1,203
1,211
1,219
1,227
1,235
WIPRO
423
429
434
439
444
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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