Daily Technical Report
August 08, 2012
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Sensex (17602) / NIFTY (5337)
Yesterday after a gap up opening, our benchmark
indices rallied 1% for the second consecutive session
ahead of monsoon parliament session. Indices tested
the major resistance level of 17631 / 5349 and
closed marginally below the same. On sectoral front,
IT, Auto and Teck counters contributed heavily during
yesterday’s rally; whereas Healthcare and Consumer
Durables closed with a nominal loss. The advance to
decline ratio was in favor of advancing counters
Formation
The weekly
50% and
61.8% Fibonacci
retracement levels of the rise from 15748 /
4770 (June 08, 2012) to 17631 / 5349 (July 13,
2012) are seen at 16690 / 5059 and 16467 /
4991 levels, respectively.
On the weekly chart, we are witnessing a
“Downward Sloping Trend Line” resistance near
17450 / 5300 formed by joining the highs of
Source: Falcon
21109 / 6339 (November 5, 2010) - 18524 /
5630 (February 24, 2012).
The ’20-day EMA’ and
’200-day SMA’ are
Actionable points:
placed at 17183 / 5212 and 16892 / 5109
levels, respectively.
View
Bullish Above 5350
The positive crossover in daily ‘RSI
-
Expected Targets
5386 - 5450
Smoothened’ oscillator and ‘5 & 20 EMA’ is still
Support Levels
5300 - 5260
intact.
Trading strategy:
Yesterday, yet again our markets opened higher and
maintained their early gains throughout the day. We
observed that indices opened above the mentioned
'Downward Trend Line' resistance level and rallied to
test the expected level of 17631 / 5349. As a result,
the breakout from the trend line has been confirmed.
However, we reiterate that a close beyond 17631 /
5349 level with strong volumes would signal the start
of a fresh rally. In this scenario, we may witness a
sharp rally to test next resistance levels of 17687 -
17900 / 5386 - 5450. On the downside, 17450 -
17313 / 5300 - 5260 levels may provide decent
support for the day.
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Daily Technical Report
August 08, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10592)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened on an optimistic note
and gained strength as the day progressed to close in
the positive territory. We had been mentioning in our
previous reports, the range of 10500 - 10150. In
yesterday’s session we witnessed an upward breakout
from the said range, hence we believe that the
optimistic sentiment is likely to continue. The
momentum oscillators on the daily chart have turned
positive. Thus, if the index sustains above 10617 then
it is likely to rally towards 10710 - 10756. On the
downside 10464 level is likely to act as support in
coming trading session.
Actionable points:
View
Bullish Above 10617
Expected Targets
10710- 10756
Source: Falcon
Support Level
10537 - 10464
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Daily Technical Report
August 08, 2012
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
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Research Team
Shardul Kulkarni
-
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
-
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
-
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
-
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
-
Technical Analyst
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