Technical Research | February 08, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17623) / NIFTY (5335)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday Indices opened higher in-line with strong cues
from Asian markets but failed to sustain at higher levels and
corrected sharply during the second half to close marginally
above the day’s low. On the sectoral front, Capital Goods,
Realty and Power counters were among the major losers,
whereas Oil & Gas and Consumer Durables sectors ended
on a gaining side. The advance to decline ratio was in favor
of declining counters. (A=1247 D=1630) (Source
-
Formation:
• Indices are hovering around “Horizontal Line”
resistance of 17908 / 5400.
• Monday’s candle resembled a “Hanging Man”. This is
a bearish pattern but requires confirmation.
• The “RSI-Smoothened” oscillator on daily chart is
placed in extreme overbought territory.
• The daily chart depicts a “Bearish Engulfing” pattern.
Source: Falcon
• The momentum oscillator on the daily chart viz., the
“Stochastic” is negatively poised.
Trading strategy:
Actionable points:
View
Bearish below 5322
We witnessed yet another gap up opening mainly on the
Expected Targets
5290 - 5225
back of positive sentiments across global. However, markets
Resistance levels
5414
pared early gains and a relatively sharp down move during
the second half led indices to close marginally above the
low of the “Hanging Man” pattern formed on Monday’s
session. Also, yesterday’s candle resembles a “Bearish
Engulfing” pattern but requires confirmation. The said
pattern will be confirmed on the violation of 17582 / 5322
level. In addition, the “Stochastic” oscillator on the daily
chart is negatively poised. As a result of this, a sustainable
move below 17582 / 5322 level may reinforce the selling
pressure and indices may slide towards 17504 - 17308 /
5290 - 5225 levels. On the upside, 17908 / 5414 level is
likely to act as a strong resistance for the markets.
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1
Technical Research | February 08, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10325)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened up with an upside gap but
closed marginally below the mentioned resistance level of
10350. For the second consecutive session we are witnessing
a narrow range body formation, which is a sign of
uncertainty prevailing at current levels. We reiterate our view,
on the Daily chart; we are witnessing a possibility of negative
divergence in “RSI” oscillator which is coupled with other
overbought momentum oscillators. Hence a chance of minor
correction cannot be ruled out. On the downside, if Bank
Nifty trades convincingly below yesterday’s low of
10260
then it is likely to drift towards 10100 - 9916 levels. On the
upside the levels of 10430 - 10516 are likely to act as
resistance for the day.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10430 - 10516
Support Levels
10260 - 10100 - 9916
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | February 08, 2012
Positive Bias:
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Target
ITC
205.4
202.9
203.2
208
View will change below 202
Negative Bias:
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Target
Reliance
374.5
372.5
337.8
356
View will change above 390
Capital
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3
Technical Research | February 08, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,429
17,526
17,679
17,775
17,929
NIFTY
5,267
5,301
5,357
5,391
5,448
BANKNIFTY
10,169
10,247
10,338
10,416
10,508
ACC
1,270
1,315
1,344
1,389
1,418
AMBUJACEM
173
175
179
181
184
AXISBANK
1,087
1,100
1,113
1,126
1,138
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,604
1,621
1,640
1,657
1,676
BHARTIARTL
365
372
381
388
397
BHEL
248
254
264
270
280
BPCL
553
560
573
581
594
CAIRN
354
360
366
372
377
CIPLA
346
350
355
359
364
COALINDIA
318
322
328
332
339
DLF
222
225
231
235
241
DRREDDY
1,600
1,617
1,647
1,664
1,694
GAIL
369
374
382
388
396
HCLTECH
451
456
462
467
474
HDFC
667
676
693
702
718
HDFCBANK
504
506
511
514
518
HEROMOTOCO
1,895
1,922
1,968
1,996
2,041
HINDALCO
148
151
155
158
162
HINDUNILVR
373
377
383
387
393
ICICIBANK
916
927
937
947
957
IDFC
130
133
138
141
145
INFY
2,657
2,692
2,749
2,784
2,840
ITC
201
203
205
207
208
JINDALSTEL
552
563
577
588
602
JPASSOCIAT
71
73
76
77
81
KOTAKBANK
509
522
530
544
552
LT
1,319
1,337
1,366
1,384
1,413
M&M
663
676
699
712
734
MARUTI
1,228
1,237
1,250
1,259
1,272
NTPC
172
174
176
178
180
ONGC
276
281
284
289
293
PNB
965
974
984
993
1,003
POWERGRID
105
106
108
110
112
RANBAXY
447
452
455
460
463
RCOM
87
89
92
94
96
RELIANCE
825
835
844
853
862
RELINFRA
533
542
552
562
572
RPOWER
94
97
99
102
104
SAIL
103
104
107
109
111
SBIN
2,119
2,136
2,162
2,179
2,205
SESAGOA
211
216
225
230
239
SIEMENS
759
768
779
788
799
STER
118
120
124
126
129
SUNPHARMA
521
533
544
556
567
SUZLON
28
28
29
30
31
TATAMOTORS
244
247
251
254
258
TATAPOWER
105
106
108
109
110
TATASTEEL
435
443
458
466
480
TCS
1,182
1,190
1,200
1,208
1,218
WIPRO
423
426
428
431
434
Technical Research Team
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Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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