Technical Research | April 04, 2012
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (17597) / NIFTY (5359)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, we witnessed a gap up opening in-line with other
global bourses and subsequently managed to hold their
early gains throughout the session. Eventually, indices
closed marginally above 5350 mark. On sectoral front,
Consumer Durables, Capital Goods and Oil & Gas
counters were among the major gainers, whereas Health
Care and Auto sectors ended with a nominal loss. The
advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of advancing
counters (A=1796 D=1022) (Source -www.bseindia.com)
Formation:
• The 200-day SMA (Simple Moving Average) and 20-
day EMA (Exponential Moving Average) have now shifted to
17100 / 5150 and 17380 / 5284, respectively.
• The ‘20-Week EMA’ is placed at 17200 / 5200 level.
• We are witnessing a ‘Downward Sloping Trend Line’
resistance around 17630 / 5380 level.
• The daily ‘RSI-Smoothened’ momentum oscillator has
Source: Falcon
given a positive crossover.
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Neutral
Yesterday, after a gap up opening our indices traded with
Resistance Levels
5380 - 5430
positive bias in the first half of the trading session. As
Support Levels
5325 - 5300
expected, the Indices faced resistance near the ‘Downward
Sloping Trend Line’ mentioned in our previous reports near
5380 level. At this juncture, the placement of “5 & 20
EMA” on the Daily chart suggests that positive momentum is
likely to continue once indices trade convincingly above the
‘Downward Sloping Trend Line” which coincides with
Yesterday’s high of 17664 / 5379. In such scenario, indices
are likely to rally further towards 17700 - 17836 / 5400 -
5430 levels. Since the momentum oscillators on the hourly
chart are in overbought zone, a consolidation or a minor
pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, 17500 -
17420 / 5325 - 5300 levels can act as a decent support
for the markets in coming trading session.
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1
Technical Research | April 04, 2012
Bank Nifty Outlook - (10433)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, Bank Nifty opened with an upside gap in line
with our benchmark indices and traded in a narrow
range throughput the session. The positive crossover in
“RSI and Stochastic” momentum oscillator on the daily
chart mentioned in our previous report is still intact.
However, the momentum oscillators on the hourly chart
are negatively poised hence possibility of a minor
pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, a fall
below 10376 will confirm the pullback and index may
drift towards 10251 - 10174. On the upside, 10503 -
10580 are likely to act as resistance in coming trading
session.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance Levels
10503 - 10580
Support Levels
10376 - 10251 - 10174
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | April 04, 2012
Positive Bias:
Positive
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Above
Target
NCC
56.3
53.8
53.6
58
65
View will change below 53
Negative Bias:
Negative
Expected
Stock Name
CMP
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Remarks
Below
Target
Havells
588.6
580.4
568
585
570
View will change above
606
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3
Technical Research | April 04, 2012
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
17,516
17,557
17,611
17,651
17,705
NIFTY
5,326
5,342
5,361
5,377
5,395
BANKNIFTY
10,310
10,372
10,437
10,498
10,564
ACC
1,341
1,353
1,363
1,375
1,385
AMBUJACEM
167
169
172
173
176
AXISBANK
1,147
1,162
1,173
1,188
1,199
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,621
1,634
1,652
1,665
1,683
BHARTIARTL
330
334
339
342
347
BHEL
256
260
265
269
274
BPCL
673
689
699
715
725
CAIRN
338
347
353
363
369
CIPLA
308
310
312
314
316
COALINDIA
337
340
344
347
350
DLF
203
205
208
210
213
DRREDDY
1,643
1,668
1,711
1,736
1,779
GAIL
376
380
383
386
389
HCLTECH
495
500
503
509
512
HDFC
679
683
686
690
693
HDFCBANK
523
527
532
535
540
HEROMOTOCO
1,965
1,987
2,027
2,049
2,089
HINDALCO
128
130
131
133
135
HINDUNILVR
398
401
405
408
412
ICICIBANK
888
898
908
919
929
IDFC
134
136
137
139
141
INFY
2,824
2,841
2,860
2,877
2,895
ITC
226
226
227
228
229
JINDALSTEL
533
538
544
549
555
JPASSOCIAT
85
87
88
90
91
KOTAKBANK
551
555
560
564
568
LT
1,332
1,347
1,357
1,372
1,382
M&M
696
701
708
714
721
MARUTI
1,275
1,292
1,321
1,338
1,367
NTPC
165
166
168
169
170
ONGC
268
271
273
276
278
PNB
918
925
932
939
947
POWERGRID
108
109
110
111
112
RANBAXY
453
460
464
470
474
RCOM
85
86
87
88
89
RELIANCE
735
744
753
762
772
RELINFRA
602
608
615
620
628
RPOWER
118
120
122
123
125
SAIL
96
97
98
100
101
SBIN
2,125
2,149
2,166
2,190
2,207
SESAGOA
192
195
197
201
203
SIEMENS
763
776
785
798
807
STER
109
111
112
114
115
SUNPHARMA
561
565
571
575
581
SUZLON
25
25
26
26
27
TATAMOTORS
273
277
280
284
286
TATAPOWER
100
101
101
102
103
TATASTEEL
470
474
478
482
486
TCS
1,155
1,166
1,187
1,198
1,219
WIPRO
438
442
446
450
453
Technical Research Team
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Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
For any Queries, Suggestions and Feedback kindly mail to [email protected]
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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