Technical Research | December 01, 2011
Daily Technical Report
Sensex (16123) / NIFTY (4832)
Exhibit 1: Nifty Daily Chart
Yesterday, we witnessed a highly volatile trading session
where our Benchmark indices tested the mentioned
resistance as well as support levels of the day. The indices
opened lower but ended on a positive note. On the sectoral
front, Oil & Gas and FMCG counters were among the
major gainers whereas Consumer Durables ended with
marginal loss. The advance decline ratio was in favour of
declining counters (A=1204 D=1521).
(Source
-
Formation
• On the Daily chart, the momentum oscillator viz. the
“RSI Smoothened” has given a positive crossover.
Source: Falcon
Actionable points:
Trading strategy:
View
Neutral
Our markets opened lower and traded with extreme
Resistance levels
4866 - 4932
volatility throughout the day. On the downside, indices
Support levels
4755 - 4693
tested the mentioned support level of 15888 / 4766.
However, buying emerged near this level which led the
indices to test resistance level of 16135 / 4844. On the
Daily chart, we are witnessing a positive crossover in
momentum oscillator viz. the “RSI Smoothened”, which
indicates further strength. Going forward, if indices trades
convincingly above the resistance level of 16210 / 4866,
then they are likely to test the “20 Day EMA” placed at
16430 / 4932 level. On the downside, 15850 - 15645 /
4755 - 4693 levels may act as support for coming trading
sessions.
We are of the opinion that the collective policy changes by
central banks across the world have not been factored in by
our markets. Positional traders with short positions are
advised to exit on any closing above 16430 / 4932 level.
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1
Technical Research | December 01, 2011
Bank Nifty Outlook - (8564)
Exhibit 2: Bank Nifty Daily Chart
Bank nifty opened with a minor downside gap and traded
with extreme volatility throughout the session. We are
observing a “Spinning top” candle pattern formation,
which indicates indecision in the mind of bulls and bears
prevailing at current levels. Therefore, if Bank Nifty
Sustains above yesterday’s high of 8704 then it is likely to
test 8844 - 8880 levels. On the downside, 8490 - 8360
levels may act as support levels for the day.
Actionable points:
View
Neutral
Resistance levels
8704 - 8880 - 8944
Support levels
8490 - 8360
Source: Falcon
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2
Technical Research | December 01, 2011
Positive Bias:
Stock Name
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Expected Target
Remarks
Wipro
373.8
371.2
389
View will change below 369
Lupin
468.1
464.95
486
View will change below 466.30
Negative Bias:
Stock Name
5 Day EMA
20 Day EMA
Expected Target
Remarks
Dish TV
64.4
67.1
58.6
View will change above 68.2
Patel Engg
86.5
88.4
80
View will change above 92
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3
Technical Research | December 01, 2011
Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
SENSEX
15,721
15,922
16,051
16,252
16,381
NIFTY
4,716
4,774
4,813
4,871
4,910
BANKNIFTY
8,372
8,468
8,586
8,682
8,800
ACC
1,126
1,135
1,144
1,153
1,162
AMBUJACEM
142
145
148
151
154
AXISBANK
914
931
953
970
992
BAJAJ-AUTO
1,606
1,637
1,663
1,695
1,721
BHARTIARTL
359
373
381
394
403
BHEL
270
276
280
287
290
BPCL
507
522
533
548
558
CAIRN
296
299
301
304
307
CIPLA
322
325
327
330
333
DLF
194
201
206
212
217
DRREDDY
1,550
1,564
1,577
1,591
1,604
GAIL
379
386
390
397
401
HCLTECH
373
378
386
391
399
HDFC
616
629
638
651
661
HDFCBANK
420
431
440
452
461
HEROMOTOCO
1,903
1,951
2,019
2,068
2,136
HINDALCO
119
121
122
124
126
HINDUNILVR
381
389
395
403
409
ICICIBANK
688
700
717
730
747
IDFC
106
107
109
110
112
INFY
2,534
2,570
2,598
2,634
2,662
ITC
194
198
200
203
205
JINDALSTEL
462
483
497
518
532
JPASSOCIAT
60
61
62
63
64
KOTAKBANK
441
454
462
475
483
LT
1,239
1,256
1,267
1,283
1,294
M&M
692
709
720
737
749
MARUTI
943
957
967
982
991
NTPC
154
158
161
165
168
ONGC
249
258
264
273
279
PNB
865
874
882
890
898
POWERGRID
94
96
98
101
103
RANBAXY
417
426
439
447
460
RCOM
70
72
73
75
77
RELCAPITAL
271
276
283
288
295
RELIANCE
741
760
772
790
802
RELINFRA
392
398
407
413
422
RPOWER
82
84
86
87
89
SAIL
78
79
81
82
85
SBIN
1,695
1,729
1,762
1,796
1,829
SESAGOA
174
179
182
187
190
SIEMENS
658
674
687
703
717
STER
96
97
100
102
104
SUNPHARMA
500
513
521
534
542
SUZLON
22
23
23
24
24
TATAMOTORS
166
169
173
176
180
TATAPOWER
89
90
91
93
94
TATASTEEL
378
382
385
389
392
TCS
1,065
1,090
1,107
1,132
1,148
WIPRO
367
372
377
382
387
Technical Research Team
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4
Technical Report
RESEARCH TEAM
Shardul Kulkarni
Head - Technicals
Sameet Chavan
Technical Analyst
Sacchitanand Uttekar
Technical Analyst
Mehul Kothari
Technical Analyst
Ankur Lakhotia
Technical Analyst
Research Team: 022-3952 6600
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