
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
Angel Top Picks – December 2020
Indian markets rally to new highs on back of record FII flows in November – Indian
equities closed in the green for a second month in a row up by 11.4% to 12,969
on the back of record FII flows. FII inflows for the month stood at a record
`60,358 crore as compared to `19,541 crore in October 2020. Positive news
flow on vaccine front and US elections also provided support to the markets.
Domestic economy continued to improve in November– The economy continued to
improve in November which was reflected in the PMI numbers. The manufacturing
PMI for November at 56.3 points to continued strong rebound in manufacturing.
Though this is lower than the reading of 58.9 in October, the last three month PMI
numbers point to a very strong acceleration in the manufacturing sector. Services
PMI at 53.7 for the month of November also point to solid pace of expansion
despite falling from 54.1 in October.
Positive news flow on vaccine front led to sharp rally in global markets -
During the month Pfizer and Moderna announced the result of the phase 3
trials of their Covid-19 vaccines which were extremely positive. Both the
companies’ vaccines have demonstrated efficacy more than 90% of the
volunteers in the phase 3 trails. The outcome of the phase 3 results were
cheered by the markets and led to a major risk on rally globally.
Expectations of second US stimulus package to provide support - In the US
elections the Democratic Party candidate Joe Biden has won the presidential
elections while democrats have managed to retain retained the House of
Representatives which were along expected lines. Post the US elections focus has
now shifted to the progress on the second US stimulus package and talks are
currently underway between the republicans and the democrats on the package.
RBI’s accommodative stance despite high inflation is positive for markets – The
Reserve bank of India (RBI) in its bimonthly MPC meeting maintained status quo
with the benchmark repo and reverse repo rates being left unchanged at 4.0% and
3.35% respectively. The RBI has guided that they will maintain their
accommodative stance for FY2021 and into FY2022 despite high inflation which
should help the current economic recovery and is positive for the markets.
We expect broad based rally to continue for now – The rally in the past few months
have become broader with more sectors participating in the rally. We expect that
the rally in cyclical and beaten down sectors will continue for now given the risk on
environment globally. We believe that auto, chemicals, select private BFSI names,
consumer durables and cement should continue to do well. We also expect the
rural, essential and digital theme to continue playing out over the next few quarters
given revenue visibility and strong growth prospects. We therefore continue to
maintain our positive outlook on sectors like IT, Pharma, Two wheelers and
tractors.
Return Since Inception (30th Oct, 2015)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Cholamand. Inv. Fin. Comp.
Source: Company, Angel Research
Note: Closing price as on 4
st
December,2020